The open seat in New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District, vacated by Chris Pappas's Senate bid, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 81.5% implied probability, reflecting Cook Political Report's "Likely Democratic" rating amid a D+2 partisan lean from recent presidential results. Strong Democratic fundraising—led by Maura Sullivan ($1.9M) and Stefany Shaheen ($1.3M) through Q1 2026—outpaces Republicans by over $2M, bolstering frontrunners in a crowded primary field including Sarah Chadzynski and Heath Howard. A Democratic candidate forum on April 9 highlighted party unity, while GOP contenders like Anthony DiLorenzo ($850K) face fragmentation. With primaries September 8, historical district wins by Pappas (54%-46% margins) sustain Democratic edge despite Harris's narrow 2024 victory here.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNH-01 House Election Winner
NH-01 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
82%
Republican Party
14%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$275 वॉल्यूम
82%
Republican Party
$1,440 वॉल्यूम
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District, vacated by Chris Pappas's Senate bid, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 81.5% implied probability, reflecting Cook Political Report's "Likely Democratic" rating amid a D+2 partisan lean from recent presidential results. Strong Democratic fundraising—led by Maura Sullivan ($1.9M) and Stefany Shaheen ($1.3M) through Q1 2026—outpaces Republicans by over $2M, bolstering frontrunners in a crowded primary field including Sarah Chadzynski and Heath Howard. A Democratic candidate forum on April 9 highlighted party unity, while GOP contenders like Anthony DiLorenzo ($850K) face fragmentation. With primaries September 8, historical district wins by Pappas (54%-46% margins) sustain Democratic edge despite Harris's narrow 2024 victory here.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,715समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District, vacated by Chris Pappas's Senate bid, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 81.5% implied probability, reflecting Cook Political Report's "Likely Democratic" rating amid a D+2 partisan lean from recent presidential results. Strong Democratic fundraising—led by Maura Sullivan ($1.9M) and Stefany Shaheen ($1.3M) through Q1 2026—outpaces Republicans by over $2M, bolstering frontrunners in a crowded primary field including Sarah Chadzynski and Heath Howard. A Democratic candidate forum on April 9 highlighted party unity, while GOP contenders like Anthony DiLorenzo ($850K) face fragmentation. With primaries September 8, historical district wins by Pappas (54%-46% margins) sustain Democratic edge despite Harris's narrow 2024 victory here.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$1,715समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District, vacated by Chris Pappas's Senate bid, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 81.5% implied probability, reflecting Cook Political Report's "Likely Democratic" rating amid a D+2 partisan lean from recent presidential results. Strong Democratic fundraising—led by Maura Sullivan ($1.9M) and Stefany Shaheen ($1.3M) through Q1 2026—outpaces Republicans by over $2M, bolstering frontrunners in a crowded primary field including Sarah Chadzynski and Heath Howard. A Democratic candidate forum on April 9 highlighted party unity, while GOP contenders like Anthony DiLorenzo ($850K) face fragmentation. With primaries September 8, historical district wins by Pappas (54%-46% margins) sustain Democratic edge despite Harris's narrow 2024 victory here.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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