Florida's 16th congressional district is an open seat following the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan. The race occurs under newly drawn maps signed into law in May 2026 and upheld by courts, which analysts project will produce a 24-4 Republican advantage statewide. The district carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and favored Donald Trump by double digits in recent presidential voting. Multiple candidates are competing in the August 18 Republican and Democratic primaries ahead of the November general election. These structural factors, combined with the district's voting history and limited recent polling shifts, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 69 percent implied probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाFL -16 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
FL -16 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$17,590 वॉल्यूम
$17,590 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
69%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
25%
$17,590 वॉल्यूम
$17,590 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$5,760 वॉल्यूम
69%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$11,830 वॉल्यूम
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 16th congressional district is an open seat following the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan. The race occurs under newly drawn maps signed into law in May 2026 and upheld by courts, which analysts project will produce a 24-4 Republican advantage statewide. The district carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and favored Donald Trump by double digits in recent presidential voting. Multiple candidates are competing in the August 18 Republican and Democratic primaries ahead of the November general election. These structural factors, combined with the district's voting history and limited recent polling shifts, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 69 percent implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$17,590समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 16th congressional district is an open seat following the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan. The race occurs under newly drawn maps signed into law in May 2026 and upheld by courts, which analysts project will produce a 24-4 Republican advantage statewide. The district carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and favored Donald Trump by double digits in recent presidential voting. Multiple candidates are competing in the August 18 Republican and Democratic primaries ahead of the November general election. These structural factors, combined with the district's voting history and limited recent polling shifts, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 69 percent implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$17,590समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 16th congressional district is an open seat following the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan. The race occurs under newly drawn maps signed into law in May 2026 and upheld by courts, which analysts project will produce a 24-4 Republican advantage statewide. The district carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and favored Donald Trump by double digits in recent presidential voting. Multiple candidates are competing in the August 18 Republican and Democratic primaries ahead of the November general election. These structural factors, combined with the district's voting history and limited recent polling shifts, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 69 percent implied probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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