Jamie Raskin’s long incumbency in Maryland’s 8th District, combined with the area’s D+30 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Safe Democratic” ratings from major forecasters, anchors the overwhelming trader consensus. Raskin secured over 92 percent in the June Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Cheryl Riley prevailed in a low-turnout contest and trails sharply in fundraising. The November 3 general election remains weeks away, yet the district’s voting patterns and structural advantages have produced minimal movement in implied probabilities. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the outcome, though historical precedent in similarly partisan districts shows limited volatility at this stage.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMD-08 House Election Winner
MD-08 House Election Winner
$28,023 वॉल्यूम
$28,023 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
जेमी रास्किन (डेमोक्रेटिक)
97%
चेरिल रिले (रिपब्लिकन)
3%
$28,023 वॉल्यूम
$28,023 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
जेमी रास्किन (डेमोक्रेटिक)
$19,486 वॉल्यूम
97%
चेरिल रिले (रिपब्लिकन)
$8,537 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jamie Raskin’s long incumbency in Maryland’s 8th District, combined with the area’s D+30 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Safe Democratic” ratings from major forecasters, anchors the overwhelming trader consensus. Raskin secured over 92 percent in the June Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Cheryl Riley prevailed in a low-turnout contest and trails sharply in fundraising. The November 3 general election remains weeks away, yet the district’s voting patterns and structural advantages have produced minimal movement in implied probabilities. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the outcome, though historical precedent in similarly partisan districts shows limited volatility at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$28,023समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jamie Raskin’s long incumbency in Maryland’s 8th District, combined with the area’s D+30 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Safe Democratic” ratings from major forecasters, anchors the overwhelming trader consensus. Raskin secured over 92 percent in the June Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Cheryl Riley prevailed in a low-turnout contest and trails sharply in fundraising. The November 3 general election remains weeks away, yet the district’s voting patterns and structural advantages have produced minimal movement in implied probabilities. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the outcome, though historical precedent in similarly partisan districts shows limited volatility at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$28,023समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Jamie Raskin’s long incumbency in Maryland’s 8th District, combined with the area’s D+30 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Safe Democratic” ratings from major forecasters, anchors the overwhelming trader consensus. Raskin secured over 92 percent in the June Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Cheryl Riley prevailed in a low-turnout contest and trails sharply in fundraising. The November 3 general election remains weeks away, yet the district’s voting patterns and structural advantages have produced minimal movement in implied probabilities. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the outcome, though historical precedent in similarly partisan districts shows limited volatility at this stage.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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