The Republican nominee holds a commanding lead in the AR-01 House race because the northeastern Arkansas district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23 and delivered 72.9 percent of the vote to incumbent Rick Crawford in 2024. Primary results confirmed Crawford’s renomination without significant opposition, while the Democratic nominee, Terri Yarbrough Green, faces the structural barriers typical of an R+23 seat. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.5 percent Republican price aligns with nonpartisan ratings labeling the contest Solid or Safe Republican. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen national Democratic surge, a major scandal or health event involving Crawford, or turnout anomalies that exceed historical patterns in this low-competition district.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAR -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
AR -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$18,782 वॉल्यूम
$18,782 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
93%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
6%
$18,782 वॉल्यूम
$18,782 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$11,183 वॉल्यूम
93%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$7,599 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a commanding lead in the AR-01 House race because the northeastern Arkansas district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23 and delivered 72.9 percent of the vote to incumbent Rick Crawford in 2024. Primary results confirmed Crawford’s renomination without significant opposition, while the Democratic nominee, Terri Yarbrough Green, faces the structural barriers typical of an R+23 seat. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.5 percent Republican price aligns with nonpartisan ratings labeling the contest Solid or Safe Republican. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen national Democratic surge, a major scandal or health event involving Crawford, or turnout anomalies that exceed historical patterns in this low-competition district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$18,782समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a commanding lead in the AR-01 House race because the northeastern Arkansas district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23 and delivered 72.9 percent of the vote to incumbent Rick Crawford in 2024. Primary results confirmed Crawford’s renomination without significant opposition, while the Democratic nominee, Terri Yarbrough Green, faces the structural barriers typical of an R+23 seat. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.5 percent Republican price aligns with nonpartisan ratings labeling the contest Solid or Safe Republican. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen national Democratic surge, a major scandal or health event involving Crawford, or turnout anomalies that exceed historical patterns in this low-competition district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$18,782समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds a commanding lead in the AR-01 House race because the northeastern Arkansas district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23 and delivered 72.9 percent of the vote to incumbent Rick Crawford in 2024. Primary results confirmed Crawford’s renomination without significant opposition, while the Democratic nominee, Terri Yarbrough Green, faces the structural barriers typical of an R+23 seat. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.5 percent Republican price aligns with nonpartisan ratings labeling the contest Solid or Safe Republican. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen national Democratic surge, a major scandal or health event involving Crawford, or turnout anomalies that exceed historical patterns in this low-competition district.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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