Incumbent Rick Crawford holds a commanding lead in the AR-01 race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Both major-party primaries were canceled earlier this year, allowing Crawford to advance unopposed while Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green secured her nomination without a contest. No recent polling or campaign developments have altered the race’s trajectory, and forecasters rate it Safe or Solid Republican. Traders’ consensus aligns with these structural factors ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to create any realistic opening for the challenger.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAR -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
AR -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$26,845 वॉल्यूम
$26,845 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिक क्रॉफ़र्ड (रिपब्लिकन)
98%
टेरी ग्रीन (डेमोक्रेट)
1%
$26,845 वॉल्यूम
$26,845 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिक क्रॉफ़र्ड (रिपब्लिकन)
$16,491 वॉल्यूम
98%
टेरी ग्रीन (डेमोक्रेट)
$10,354 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rick Crawford holds a commanding lead in the AR-01 race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Both major-party primaries were canceled earlier this year, allowing Crawford to advance unopposed while Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green secured her nomination without a contest. No recent polling or campaign developments have altered the race’s trajectory, and forecasters rate it Safe or Solid Republican. Traders’ consensus aligns with these structural factors ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to create any realistic opening for the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$26,845समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rick Crawford holds a commanding lead in the AR-01 race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Both major-party primaries were canceled earlier this year, allowing Crawford to advance unopposed while Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green secured her nomination without a contest. No recent polling or campaign developments have altered the race’s trajectory, and forecasters rate it Safe or Solid Republican. Traders’ consensus aligns with these structural factors ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to create any realistic opening for the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$26,845समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Rick Crawford holds a commanding lead in the AR-01 race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Both major-party primaries were canceled earlier this year, allowing Crawford to advance unopposed while Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green secured her nomination without a contest. No recent polling or campaign developments have altered the race’s trajectory, and forecasters rate it Safe or Solid Republican. Traders’ consensus aligns with these structural factors ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to create any realistic opening for the challenger.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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