Incumbent Republican French Hill faces Democrat Chris Jones in Arkansas’s 2nd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by forecasters and carrying an R+8 partisan voting index. Hill secured renomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election with the advantages of incumbency and a district that has delivered Republican margins above 25 points in recent cycles. Jones, the 2022 Democratic gubernatorial nominee, won his primary and has drawn national party attention as a target, yet available polling remains limited and the district’s underlying partisan lean continues to favor the Republican nominee. Traders assign the Republican Party an 87% implied probability of victory, reflecting the structural and historical barriers facing the Democratic challenger ahead of Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAR-02 House Election Winner
AR-02 House Election Winner
नया
नया
2 नव, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
12%
नया
नया
2 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$3,115 वॉल्यूम
87%
Democratic Party
$6,383 वॉल्यूम
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican French Hill faces Democrat Chris Jones in Arkansas’s 2nd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by forecasters and carrying an R+8 partisan voting index. Hill secured renomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election with the advantages of incumbency and a district that has delivered Republican margins above 25 points in recent cycles. Jones, the 2022 Democratic gubernatorial nominee, won his primary and has drawn national party attention as a target, yet available polling remains limited and the district’s underlying partisan lean continues to favor the Republican nominee. Traders assign the Republican Party an 87% implied probability of victory, reflecting the structural and historical barriers facing the Democratic challenger ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,498समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican French Hill faces Democrat Chris Jones in Arkansas’s 2nd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by forecasters and carrying an R+8 partisan voting index. Hill secured renomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election with the advantages of incumbency and a district that has delivered Republican margins above 25 points in recent cycles. Jones, the 2022 Democratic gubernatorial nominee, won his primary and has drawn national party attention as a target, yet available polling remains limited and the district’s underlying partisan lean continues to favor the Republican nominee. Traders assign the Republican Party an 87% implied probability of victory, reflecting the structural and historical barriers facing the Democratic challenger ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$9,498समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican French Hill faces Democrat Chris Jones in Arkansas’s 2nd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by forecasters and carrying an R+8 partisan voting index. Hill secured renomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election with the advantages of incumbency and a district that has delivered Republican margins above 25 points in recent cycles. Jones, the 2022 Democratic gubernatorial nominee, won his primary and has drawn national party attention as a target, yet available polling remains limited and the district’s underlying partisan lean continues to favor the Republican nominee. Traders assign the Republican Party an 87% implied probability of victory, reflecting the structural and historical barriers facing the Democratic challenger ahead of Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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