Former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola leads trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability to win Alaska's 2026 U.S. Senate race against incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan (33.5%), driven by recent polls showing her edge in ranked-choice voting simulations, including a March Alaska Survey Research survey with Peltola up 5 points after final round redistributions. Her blockbuster Q1 fundraising haul of $8.9 million—over four times Sullivan's $2.1 million—announced April 13, underscores strong national Democratic support and positions the race as a competitive battleground despite Alaska's Republican lean. Minor candidates like Dustin Darden, Ann Diener, and Richard Grayson trail far behind. The nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 could reshape the field before the November 3 general election under ranked-choice rules.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअलास्का सीनेट चुनाव विजेता
अलास्का सीनेट चुनाव विजेता
मैरी पेलटोला 63%
डैन सुलिवन 34%
डस्टिन डार्डन <1%
एन डिनर <1%
$301,634 वॉल्यूम
$301,634 वॉल्यूम
मैरी पेलटोला
63%
डैन सुलिवन
34%
डस्टिन डार्डन
<1%
एन डिनर
<1%
रिचर्ड ग्रेसन
<1%
मैरी पेलटोला 63%
डैन सुलिवन 34%
डस्टिन डार्डन <1%
एन डिनर <1%
$301,634 वॉल्यूम
$301,634 वॉल्यूम
मैरी पेलटोला
63%
डैन सुलिवन
34%
डस्टिन डार्डन
<1%
एन डिनर
<1%
रिचर्ड ग्रेसन
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola leads trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability to win Alaska's 2026 U.S. Senate race against incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan (33.5%), driven by recent polls showing her edge in ranked-choice voting simulations, including a March Alaska Survey Research survey with Peltola up 5 points after final round redistributions. Her blockbuster Q1 fundraising haul of $8.9 million—over four times Sullivan's $2.1 million—announced April 13, underscores strong national Democratic support and positions the race as a competitive battleground despite Alaska's Republican lean. Minor candidates like Dustin Darden, Ann Diener, and Richard Grayson trail far behind. The nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 could reshape the field before the November 3 general election under ranked-choice rules.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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