Mary Peltola leads the Alaska Senate race at 62.5% in trader consensus, ahead of incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan at 38.5%, driven by her consistent polling edge and record fundraising since announcing her candidacy in January 2026. Recent Alaska Survey Research surveys from June show her ahead by roughly five points in head-to-head general election matchups, building on earlier results that placed her near or above 48%. The state’s nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18, followed by ranked-choice voting in the general, amplifies her profile as the most recent Democrat to win statewide office. Traders also factor in potential voter confusion from a second Republican named Dan Sullivan on the primary ballot, a development highlighted in early June reporting that could fragment support. Sullivan retains the advantages of incumbency and a Trump endorsement in a Republican-leaning state, yet faces a tighter contest than historical patterns suggest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअलास्का सीनेट चुनाव विजेता
मैरी पेलटोला 62%
डैन सुलिवन 39%
डस्टिन डार्डन <1%
एन डिनर <1%
$338,253 वॉल्यूम
$338,253 वॉल्यूम

मैरी पेलटोला
62%

डैन सुलिवन
39%

डस्टिन डार्डन
<1%

एन डिनर
<1%

रिचर्ड ग्रेसन
<1%
मैरी पेलटोला 62%
डैन सुलिवन 39%
डस्टिन डार्डन <1%
एन डिनर <1%
$338,253 वॉल्यूम
$338,253 वॉल्यूम

मैरी पेलटोला
62%

डैन सुलिवन
39%

डस्टिन डार्डन
<1%

एन डिनर
<1%

रिचर्ड ग्रेसन
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mary Peltola leads the Alaska Senate race at 62.5% in trader consensus, ahead of incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan at 38.5%, driven by her consistent polling edge and record fundraising since announcing her candidacy in January 2026. Recent Alaska Survey Research surveys from June show her ahead by roughly five points in head-to-head general election matchups, building on earlier results that placed her near or above 48%. The state’s nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18, followed by ranked-choice voting in the general, amplifies her profile as the most recent Democrat to win statewide office. Traders also factor in potential voter confusion from a second Republican named Dan Sullivan on the primary ballot, a development highlighted in early June reporting that could fragment support. Sullivan retains the advantages of incumbency and a Trump endorsement in a Republican-leaning state, yet faces a tighter contest than historical patterns suggest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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