Washington's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump's 14.5-point 2024 margin and consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The August 2026 top-two primary consolidated support behind Republican Amanda McKinney, a Yakima County commissioner with Trump backing, and Democrat John Duresky, a retired Air Force veteran, setting up a November general election in a district encompassing central Washington agricultural and energy areas. This positioning underpins trader consensus around a Republican victory. Potential shifts could arise from unusually high Democratic turnout, late national economic or policy developments altering midterm dynamics, or unexpected campaign developments that erode the incumbent party's structural edge in the final weeks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWA -04 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
WA -04 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$50,609 वॉल्यूम
$50,609 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
91%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
8%
$50,609 वॉल्यूम
$50,609 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$27,999 वॉल्यूम
91%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$22,611 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump's 14.5-point 2024 margin and consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The August 2026 top-two primary consolidated support behind Republican Amanda McKinney, a Yakima County commissioner with Trump backing, and Democrat John Duresky, a retired Air Force veteran, setting up a November general election in a district encompassing central Washington agricultural and energy areas. This positioning underpins trader consensus around a Republican victory. Potential shifts could arise from unusually high Democratic turnout, late national economic or policy developments altering midterm dynamics, or unexpected campaign developments that erode the incumbent party's structural edge in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$50,609समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump's 14.5-point 2024 margin and consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The August 2026 top-two primary consolidated support behind Republican Amanda McKinney, a Yakima County commissioner with Trump backing, and Democrat John Duresky, a retired Air Force veteran, setting up a November general election in a district encompassing central Washington agricultural and energy areas. This positioning underpins trader consensus around a Republican victory. Potential shifts could arise from unusually high Democratic turnout, late national economic or policy developments altering midterm dynamics, or unexpected campaign developments that erode the incumbent party's structural edge in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$50,609समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump's 14.5-point 2024 margin and consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The August 2026 top-two primary consolidated support behind Republican Amanda McKinney, a Yakima County commissioner with Trump backing, and Democrat John Duresky, a retired Air Force veteran, setting up a November general election in a district encompassing central Washington agricultural and energy areas. This positioning underpins trader consensus around a Republican victory. Potential shifts could arise from unusually high Democratic turnout, late national economic or policy developments altering midterm dynamics, or unexpected campaign developments that erode the incumbent party's structural edge in the final weeks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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