Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 65.5% probability for the Democratic Party to win Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District House seat, reflecting heightened scrutiny of incumbent Republican Rep. Rob Bresnahan's stock trades—including unearthed audio from March contradicting his ban pledge and sales timed near key votes—which Democrats leverage as a potent attack in this battleground. Scranton Mayor Paige Cognetti, the unopposed Democratic nominee, leads narrowly in the latest poll at 45%-43%, bolstered by strong Q4 2025 fundraising exceeding $640,000 and DCCC Red to Blue endorsement. With unopposed primaries May 19 and GOP's slim House majority at stake, the district's competitive history keeps the race fluid despite Cook's Lean R rating.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPA-08 House Election Winner
PA-08 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
66%
Republican Party
32%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$319 वॉल्यूम
66%
Republican Party
$147 वॉल्यूम
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 65.5% probability for the Democratic Party to win Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District House seat, reflecting heightened scrutiny of incumbent Republican Rep. Rob Bresnahan's stock trades—including unearthed audio from March contradicting his ban pledge and sales timed near key votes—which Democrats leverage as a potent attack in this battleground. Scranton Mayor Paige Cognetti, the unopposed Democratic nominee, leads narrowly in the latest poll at 45%-43%, bolstered by strong Q4 2025 fundraising exceeding $640,000 and DCCC Red to Blue endorsement. With unopposed primaries May 19 and GOP's slim House majority at stake, the district's competitive history keeps the race fluid despite Cook's Lean R rating.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$466समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 65.5% probability for the Democratic Party to win Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District House seat, reflecting heightened scrutiny of incumbent Republican Rep. Rob Bresnahan's stock trades—including unearthed audio from March contradicting his ban pledge and sales timed near key votes—which Democrats leverage as a potent attack in this battleground. Scranton Mayor Paige Cognetti, the unopposed Democratic nominee, leads narrowly in the latest poll at 45%-43%, bolstered by strong Q4 2025 fundraising exceeding $640,000 and DCCC Red to Blue endorsement. With unopposed primaries May 19 and GOP's slim House majority at stake, the district's competitive history keeps the race fluid despite Cook's Lean R rating.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$466समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 65.5% probability for the Democratic Party to win Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District House seat, reflecting heightened scrutiny of incumbent Republican Rep. Rob Bresnahan's stock trades—including unearthed audio from March contradicting his ban pledge and sales timed near key votes—which Democrats leverage as a potent attack in this battleground. Scranton Mayor Paige Cognetti, the unopposed Democratic nominee, leads narrowly in the latest poll at 45%-43%, bolstered by strong Q4 2025 fundraising exceeding $640,000 and DCCC Red to Blue endorsement. With unopposed primaries May 19 and GOP's slim House majority at stake, the district's competitive history keeps the race fluid despite Cook's Lean R rating.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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