Incumbent Republican Rob Bresnahan faces Democratic challenger Paige Cognetti, mayor of Scranton, in the November 3, 2026, general election for Pennsylvania’s 8th congressional district. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest a toss-up following shifts in July, citing Cognetti’s fundraising advantage—she raised over twice Bresnahan’s amount in the second quarter—and narrow polling leads in Democratic-sponsored surveys showing her ahead by 1–2 points among likely voters. Bresnahan’s vulnerabilities, including past stock trading scrutiny and district-level issues, have contributed to the competitive positioning. Trader consensus on prediction markets assigns the Democratic nominee the higher implied probability, consistent with recent campaign finance data and polling trends in this Northeast Pennsylvania seat that Republicans flipped in 2024.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPA-08 House Election Winner
PA-08 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
69%
Republican Party
33%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,696 वॉल्यूम
69%
Republican Party
$2,431 वॉल्यूम
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rob Bresnahan faces Democratic challenger Paige Cognetti, mayor of Scranton, in the November 3, 2026, general election for Pennsylvania’s 8th congressional district. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest a toss-up following shifts in July, citing Cognetti’s fundraising advantage—she raised over twice Bresnahan’s amount in the second quarter—and narrow polling leads in Democratic-sponsored surveys showing her ahead by 1–2 points among likely voters. Bresnahan’s vulnerabilities, including past stock trading scrutiny and district-level issues, have contributed to the competitive positioning. Trader consensus on prediction markets assigns the Democratic nominee the higher implied probability, consistent with recent campaign finance data and polling trends in this Northeast Pennsylvania seat that Republicans flipped in 2024.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,127समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rob Bresnahan faces Democratic challenger Paige Cognetti, mayor of Scranton, in the November 3, 2026, general election for Pennsylvania’s 8th congressional district. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest a toss-up following shifts in July, citing Cognetti’s fundraising advantage—she raised over twice Bresnahan’s amount in the second quarter—and narrow polling leads in Democratic-sponsored surveys showing her ahead by 1–2 points among likely voters. Bresnahan’s vulnerabilities, including past stock trading scrutiny and district-level issues, have contributed to the competitive positioning. Trader consensus on prediction markets assigns the Democratic nominee the higher implied probability, consistent with recent campaign finance data and polling trends in this Northeast Pennsylvania seat that Republicans flipped in 2024.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$6,127समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rob Bresnahan faces Democratic challenger Paige Cognetti, mayor of Scranton, in the November 3, 2026, general election for Pennsylvania’s 8th congressional district. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest a toss-up following shifts in July, citing Cognetti’s fundraising advantage—she raised over twice Bresnahan’s amount in the second quarter—and narrow polling leads in Democratic-sponsored surveys showing her ahead by 1–2 points among likely voters. Bresnahan’s vulnerabilities, including past stock trading scrutiny and district-level issues, have contributed to the competitive positioning. Trader consensus on prediction markets assigns the Democratic nominee the higher implied probability, consistent with recent campaign finance data and polling trends in this Northeast Pennsylvania seat that Republicans flipped in 2024.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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