Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 72% to reclaim Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, driven by recent House Majority Forward polling from late March showing incumbent Rep. Ryan Mackenzie (R) and President Trump with record-low job approval ratings in the Lehigh Valley swing seat. Mackenzie's narrow 2024 victory (50.5%) underscores the district's Toss Up status per Cook Political Report (R+1 PVI), amplifying midterm headwinds for the GOP's slim House majority amid historical opposition gains. A competitive Democratic primary on May 19 features strong contenders like firefighter Bob Brooks (endorsed by Gov. Josh Shapiro and Sen. Bernie Sanders) and ex-prosecutor Ryan Crosswell, with Brooks leading Polymarket's nomination odds; the winner faces unopposed Mackenzie in a top Democratic flip target.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPA-07 House Election Winner
PA-07 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
73%
Republican Party
27%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,434 वॉल्यूम
73%
Republican Party
$132 वॉल्यूम
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 72% to reclaim Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, driven by recent House Majority Forward polling from late March showing incumbent Rep. Ryan Mackenzie (R) and President Trump with record-low job approval ratings in the Lehigh Valley swing seat. Mackenzie's narrow 2024 victory (50.5%) underscores the district's Toss Up status per Cook Political Report (R+1 PVI), amplifying midterm headwinds for the GOP's slim House majority amid historical opposition gains. A competitive Democratic primary on May 19 features strong contenders like firefighter Bob Brooks (endorsed by Gov. Josh Shapiro and Sen. Bernie Sanders) and ex-prosecutor Ryan Crosswell, with Brooks leading Polymarket's nomination odds; the winner faces unopposed Mackenzie in a top Democratic flip target.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,567समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 72% to reclaim Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, driven by recent House Majority Forward polling from late March showing incumbent Rep. Ryan Mackenzie (R) and President Trump with record-low job approval ratings in the Lehigh Valley swing seat. Mackenzie's narrow 2024 victory (50.5%) underscores the district's Toss Up status per Cook Political Report (R+1 PVI), amplifying midterm headwinds for the GOP's slim House majority amid historical opposition gains. A competitive Democratic primary on May 19 features strong contenders like firefighter Bob Brooks (endorsed by Gov. Josh Shapiro and Sen. Bernie Sanders) and ex-prosecutor Ryan Crosswell, with Brooks leading Polymarket's nomination odds; the winner faces unopposed Mackenzie in a top Democratic flip target.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$3,567समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 72% to reclaim Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, driven by recent House Majority Forward polling from late March showing incumbent Rep. Ryan Mackenzie (R) and President Trump with record-low job approval ratings in the Lehigh Valley swing seat. Mackenzie's narrow 2024 victory (50.5%) underscores the district's Toss Up status per Cook Political Report (R+1 PVI), amplifying midterm headwinds for the GOP's slim House majority amid historical opposition gains. A competitive Democratic primary on May 19 features strong contenders like firefighter Bob Brooks (endorsed by Gov. Josh Shapiro and Sen. Bernie Sanders) and ex-prosecutor Ryan Crosswell, with Brooks leading Polymarket's nomination odds; the winner faces unopposed Mackenzie in a top Democratic flip target.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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