The Democratic nominee Frederick Haynes holds a commanding lead in the TX-30 race due to the district's established partisan composition, reflected in its D+25 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent strong Democratic performance in recent federal elections. Haynes secured the nomination with over 70 percent in the March 2026 primary following incumbent Jasmine Crockett's decision to pursue a Senate bid, while Republican Everett Jackson emerged from a May runoff. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the Democratic Party above 92 percent. A late-breaking scandal involving the Democratic candidate, an unexpected national Republican surge altering turnout patterns, or unusually low Democratic participation could narrow the margin, though historical voting data in this Dallas-area district indicates limited scope for such shifts before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTX-30 House Election Winner
TX-30 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,810 वॉल्यूम
93%
Republican Party
$3,483 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee Frederick Haynes holds a commanding lead in the TX-30 race due to the district's established partisan composition, reflected in its D+25 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent strong Democratic performance in recent federal elections. Haynes secured the nomination with over 70 percent in the March 2026 primary following incumbent Jasmine Crockett's decision to pursue a Senate bid, while Republican Everett Jackson emerged from a May runoff. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the Democratic Party above 92 percent. A late-breaking scandal involving the Democratic candidate, an unexpected national Republican surge altering turnout patterns, or unusually low Democratic participation could narrow the margin, though historical voting data in this Dallas-area district indicates limited scope for such shifts before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,293समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee Frederick Haynes holds a commanding lead in the TX-30 race due to the district's established partisan composition, reflected in its D+25 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent strong Democratic performance in recent federal elections. Haynes secured the nomination with over 70 percent in the March 2026 primary following incumbent Jasmine Crockett's decision to pursue a Senate bid, while Republican Everett Jackson emerged from a May runoff. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the Democratic Party above 92 percent. A late-breaking scandal involving the Democratic candidate, an unexpected national Republican surge altering turnout patterns, or unusually low Democratic participation could narrow the margin, though historical voting data in this Dallas-area district indicates limited scope for such shifts before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$6,293समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee Frederick Haynes holds a commanding lead in the TX-30 race due to the district's established partisan composition, reflected in its D+25 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent strong Democratic performance in recent federal elections. Haynes secured the nomination with over 70 percent in the March 2026 primary following incumbent Jasmine Crockett's decision to pursue a Senate bid, while Republican Everett Jackson emerged from a May runoff. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the Democratic Party above 92 percent. A late-breaking scandal involving the Democratic candidate, an unexpected national Republican surge altering turnout patterns, or unusually low Democratic participation could narrow the margin, though historical voting data in this Dallas-area district indicates limited scope for such shifts before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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