Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar (D) leads the MI-13 Democratic primary at 54% implied probability on related prediction markets, bolstered by his $6.4 million cash-on-hand reported in February, dwarfing challengers like state Rep. Donavan McKinney despite their recent FEC filings showing improved fundraising. This financial dominance in the solidly Democratic Detroit-area district—rated Solid D by Cook Political Report—drives trader consensus toward a 92.5% chance for the Democratic Party in the November 3 general election against under-resourced Republican Maurice Morton. Recent press releases from Thanedar on issues like tax reform and invoking the 25th Amendment underscore his active incumbency, with no major disruptions in the past 30 days. Scenarios that could shift odds include a primary upset producing a weakened nominee, a late scandal or health issue affecting the Democrat, or an extraordinary Republican national midterm wave. Candidate filing deadline looms April 21 ahead of the August 4 primary.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMI -13 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
MI -13 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$30,723 वॉल्यूम
$30,723 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
7%
$30,723 वॉल्यूम
$30,723 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$19,113 वॉल्यूम
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$11,610 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar (D) leads the MI-13 Democratic primary at 54% implied probability on related prediction markets, bolstered by his $6.4 million cash-on-hand reported in February, dwarfing challengers like state Rep. Donavan McKinney despite their recent FEC filings showing improved fundraising. This financial dominance in the solidly Democratic Detroit-area district—rated Solid D by Cook Political Report—drives trader consensus toward a 92.5% chance for the Democratic Party in the November 3 general election against under-resourced Republican Maurice Morton. Recent press releases from Thanedar on issues like tax reform and invoking the 25th Amendment underscore his active incumbency, with no major disruptions in the past 30 days. Scenarios that could shift odds include a primary upset producing a weakened nominee, a late scandal or health issue affecting the Democrat, or an extraordinary Republican national midterm wave. Candidate filing deadline looms April 21 ahead of the August 4 primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$30,723समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar (D) leads the MI-13 Democratic primary at 54% implied probability on related prediction markets, bolstered by his $6.4 million cash-on-hand reported in February, dwarfing challengers like state Rep. Donavan McKinney despite their recent FEC filings showing improved fundraising. This financial dominance in the solidly Democratic Detroit-area district—rated Solid D by Cook Political Report—drives trader consensus toward a 92.5% chance for the Democratic Party in the November 3 general election against under-resourced Republican Maurice Morton. Recent press releases from Thanedar on issues like tax reform and invoking the 25th Amendment underscore his active incumbency, with no major disruptions in the past 30 days. Scenarios that could shift odds include a primary upset producing a weakened nominee, a late scandal or health issue affecting the Democrat, or an extraordinary Republican national midterm wave. Candidate filing deadline looms April 21 ahead of the August 4 primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$30,723समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar (D) leads the MI-13 Democratic primary at 54% implied probability on related prediction markets, bolstered by his $6.4 million cash-on-hand reported in February, dwarfing challengers like state Rep. Donavan McKinney despite their recent FEC filings showing improved fundraising. This financial dominance in the solidly Democratic Detroit-area district—rated Solid D by Cook Political Report—drives trader consensus toward a 92.5% chance for the Democratic Party in the November 3 general election against under-resourced Republican Maurice Morton. Recent press releases from Thanedar on issues like tax reform and invoking the 25th Amendment underscore his active incumbency, with no major disruptions in the past 30 days. Scenarios that could shift odds include a primary upset producing a weakened nominee, a late scandal or health issue affecting the Democrat, or an extraordinary Republican national midterm wave. Candidate filing deadline looms April 21 ahead of the August 4 primary.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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