New Jersey's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean rooted in its demographics, voting patterns, and consistent performance in prior cycles. The retirement of longtime incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman created an open seat that drew a crowded Democratic primary, which Adam Hamawy won in mid-2026 with a plurality against multiple challengers including elected officials and academics. Republican Gregg Mele secured the GOP nomination with minimal opposition. Traders price the Democratic nominee as a heavy favorite ahead of the November 2026 general election because structural advantages in registration, turnout, and district composition have historically produced comfortable margins. A national Republican wave, significant candidate-specific scandal, or unusually low Democratic participation could narrow the gap, though such shifts would need to overcome entrenched local dynamics to alter the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNJ -12 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
NJ -12 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$22,311 वॉल्यूम
$22,311 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
6%
$22,311 वॉल्यूम
$22,311 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$14,221 वॉल्यूम
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$8,089 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean rooted in its demographics, voting patterns, and consistent performance in prior cycles. The retirement of longtime incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman created an open seat that drew a crowded Democratic primary, which Adam Hamawy won in mid-2026 with a plurality against multiple challengers including elected officials and academics. Republican Gregg Mele secured the GOP nomination with minimal opposition. Traders price the Democratic nominee as a heavy favorite ahead of the November 2026 general election because structural advantages in registration, turnout, and district composition have historically produced comfortable margins. A national Republican wave, significant candidate-specific scandal, or unusually low Democratic participation could narrow the gap, though such shifts would need to overcome entrenched local dynamics to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$22,311समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean rooted in its demographics, voting patterns, and consistent performance in prior cycles. The retirement of longtime incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman created an open seat that drew a crowded Democratic primary, which Adam Hamawy won in mid-2026 with a plurality against multiple challengers including elected officials and academics. Republican Gregg Mele secured the GOP nomination with minimal opposition. Traders price the Democratic nominee as a heavy favorite ahead of the November 2026 general election because structural advantages in registration, turnout, and district composition have historically produced comfortable margins. A national Republican wave, significant candidate-specific scandal, or unusually low Democratic participation could narrow the gap, though such shifts would need to overcome entrenched local dynamics to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$22,311समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Jersey's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean rooted in its demographics, voting patterns, and consistent performance in prior cycles. The retirement of longtime incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman created an open seat that drew a crowded Democratic primary, which Adam Hamawy won in mid-2026 with a plurality against multiple challengers including elected officials and academics. Republican Gregg Mele secured the GOP nomination with minimal opposition. Traders price the Democratic nominee as a heavy favorite ahead of the November 2026 general election because structural advantages in registration, turnout, and district composition have historically produced comfortable margins. A national Republican wave, significant candidate-specific scandal, or unusually low Democratic participation could narrow the gap, though such shifts would need to overcome entrenched local dynamics to alter the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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