Texas' 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, features a lopsided general election matchup between GOP nominee state Rep. Steve Toth—who decisively ousted four-term incumbent Dan Crenshaw with 56% in the March 3 primary—and Democratic nominee Shaun Finnie. Toth's primary win highlights the district's conservative base in the Houston suburbs, where Republicans have won by double-digit margins in recent cycles amid a partisan voting index around R+15. Absent recent polling or developments indicating a competitive race, trader consensus prices reflect the steep barriers for Democrats in this safe seat, with the November 3 ballot as the key date; national House control dynamics add marginal pressure but favor GOP retention.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTX-02 House Election Winner
TX-02 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
12%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$3,917 वॉल्यूम
87%
Democratic Party
$4,114 वॉल्यूम
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas' 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, features a lopsided general election matchup between GOP nominee state Rep. Steve Toth—who decisively ousted four-term incumbent Dan Crenshaw with 56% in the March 3 primary—and Democratic nominee Shaun Finnie. Toth's primary win highlights the district's conservative base in the Houston suburbs, where Republicans have won by double-digit margins in recent cycles amid a partisan voting index around R+15. Absent recent polling or developments indicating a competitive race, trader consensus prices reflect the steep barriers for Democrats in this safe seat, with the November 3 ballot as the key date; national House control dynamics add marginal pressure but favor GOP retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$8,031समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas' 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, features a lopsided general election matchup between GOP nominee state Rep. Steve Toth—who decisively ousted four-term incumbent Dan Crenshaw with 56% in the March 3 primary—and Democratic nominee Shaun Finnie. Toth's primary win highlights the district's conservative base in the Houston suburbs, where Republicans have won by double-digit margins in recent cycles amid a partisan voting index around R+15. Absent recent polling or developments indicating a competitive race, trader consensus prices reflect the steep barriers for Democrats in this safe seat, with the November 3 ballot as the key date; national House control dynamics add marginal pressure but favor GOP retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$8,031समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas' 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, features a lopsided general election matchup between GOP nominee state Rep. Steve Toth—who decisively ousted four-term incumbent Dan Crenshaw with 56% in the March 3 primary—and Democratic nominee Shaun Finnie. Toth's primary win highlights the district's conservative base in the Houston suburbs, where Republicans have won by double-digit margins in recent cycles amid a partisan voting index around R+15. Absent recent polling or developments indicating a competitive race, trader consensus prices reflect the steep barriers for Democrats in this safe seat, with the November 3 ballot as the key date; national House control dynamics add marginal pressure but favor GOP retention.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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