Incumbent Republican Jim Jordan holds a commanding position in the Ohio 4th congressional district race due to the seat's entrenched Republican lean, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of R+18 to R+21 and consistent double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates. Jordan, who has represented the district since 2007 and chairs the House Judiciary Committee, advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Joshua Kolasinski won his party's nomination in a low-profile contest. Forecasters rate the November general election as Solid or Safe Republican, with models projecting margins exceeding 30 points based on the district's rural and suburban composition and prior statewide results. An independent candidate adds minor ballot competition but shows negligible impact. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting Jordan, or unexpected turnout surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though none have materialized ahead of the November 3 resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाOH-04 House Election Winner
OH-04 House Election Winner
$18,702 वॉल्यूम
$18,702 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$18,702 वॉल्यूम
$18,702 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$9,211 वॉल्यूम
95%
Democratic Party
$9,491 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jim Jordan holds a commanding position in the Ohio 4th congressional district race due to the seat's entrenched Republican lean, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of R+18 to R+21 and consistent double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates. Jordan, who has represented the district since 2007 and chairs the House Judiciary Committee, advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Joshua Kolasinski won his party's nomination in a low-profile contest. Forecasters rate the November general election as Solid or Safe Republican, with models projecting margins exceeding 30 points based on the district's rural and suburban composition and prior statewide results. An independent candidate adds minor ballot competition but shows negligible impact. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting Jordan, or unexpected turnout surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though none have materialized ahead of the November 3 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$18,702समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jim Jordan holds a commanding position in the Ohio 4th congressional district race due to the seat's entrenched Republican lean, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of R+18 to R+21 and consistent double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates. Jordan, who has represented the district since 2007 and chairs the House Judiciary Committee, advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Joshua Kolasinski won his party's nomination in a low-profile contest. Forecasters rate the November general election as Solid or Safe Republican, with models projecting margins exceeding 30 points based on the district's rural and suburban composition and prior statewide results. An independent candidate adds minor ballot competition but shows negligible impact. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting Jordan, or unexpected turnout surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though none have materialized ahead of the November 3 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$18,702समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jim Jordan holds a commanding position in the Ohio 4th congressional district race due to the seat's entrenched Republican lean, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of R+18 to R+21 and consistent double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates. Jordan, who has represented the district since 2007 and chairs the House Judiciary Committee, advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Joshua Kolasinski won his party's nomination in a low-profile contest. Forecasters rate the November general election as Solid or Safe Republican, with models projecting margins exceeding 30 points based on the district's rural and suburban composition and prior statewide results. An independent candidate adds minor ballot competition but shows negligible impact. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting Jordan, or unexpected turnout surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though none have materialized ahead of the November 3 resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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