Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 73% implied probability for Washington's 5th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Michael Baumgartner's reelection bid in a Cook Partisan Voting Index R+5 district rated Solid Republican, following his 2024 general election victory over Democrat Carmela Conroy. A crowded top-two primary field—nine candidates as of early 2026, mostly Republican challengers—positions Baumgartner strongly ahead of the May 8 filing deadline and August 4 primary, with no recent polls indicating vulnerability. His late March reelection kickoff event, toasting former President Trump, signals robust GOP base alignment amid stable national midterm dynamics, though Democratic fragmentation tempers their 24.5% odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWA-05 House Election Winner
WA-05 House Election Winner
$10,624 वॉल्यूम
$10,624 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
73%
Democratic Party
25%
$10,624 वॉल्यूम
$10,624 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$4,114 वॉल्यूम
73%
Democratic Party
$6,510 वॉल्यूम
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 73% implied probability for Washington's 5th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Michael Baumgartner's reelection bid in a Cook Partisan Voting Index R+5 district rated Solid Republican, following his 2024 general election victory over Democrat Carmela Conroy. A crowded top-two primary field—nine candidates as of early 2026, mostly Republican challengers—positions Baumgartner strongly ahead of the May 8 filing deadline and August 4 primary, with no recent polls indicating vulnerability. His late March reelection kickoff event, toasting former President Trump, signals robust GOP base alignment amid stable national midterm dynamics, though Democratic fragmentation tempers their 24.5% odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$10,624समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 73% implied probability for Washington's 5th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Michael Baumgartner's reelection bid in a Cook Partisan Voting Index R+5 district rated Solid Republican, following his 2024 general election victory over Democrat Carmela Conroy. A crowded top-two primary field—nine candidates as of early 2026, mostly Republican challengers—positions Baumgartner strongly ahead of the May 8 filing deadline and August 4 primary, with no recent polls indicating vulnerability. His late March reelection kickoff event, toasting former President Trump, signals robust GOP base alignment amid stable national midterm dynamics, though Democratic fragmentation tempers their 24.5% odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$10,624समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 73% implied probability for Washington's 5th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Michael Baumgartner's reelection bid in a Cook Partisan Voting Index R+5 district rated Solid Republican, following his 2024 general election victory over Democrat Carmela Conroy. A crowded top-two primary field—nine candidates as of early 2026, mostly Republican challengers—positions Baumgartner strongly ahead of the May 8 filing deadline and August 4 primary, with no recent polls indicating vulnerability. His late March reelection kickoff event, toasting former President Trump, signals robust GOP base alignment amid stable national midterm dynamics, though Democratic fragmentation tempers their 24.5% odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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