Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner advanced from the August 4, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 47% of the vote to face Democrat Carmela Conroy in the November general election for Washington's 5th congressional district. The eastern Washington seat, encompassing Spokane and surrounding rural areas, has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, including a double-digit Trump margin in the prior presidential race. Cook Political Report rates the contest Safe Republican, and a late-May poll showed Baumgartner leading Conroy by six points. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 77%, with the Democratic share at 23%, reflecting the district's established partisan lean, Baumgartner's incumbency, and limited evidence of a competitive shift.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWA -05 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
WA -05 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$39,454 वॉल्यूम
$39,454 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
78%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
23%
$39,454 वॉल्यूम
$39,454 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$16,492 वॉल्यूम
78%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$22,961 वॉल्यूम
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner advanced from the August 4, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 47% of the vote to face Democrat Carmela Conroy in the November general election for Washington's 5th congressional district. The eastern Washington seat, encompassing Spokane and surrounding rural areas, has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, including a double-digit Trump margin in the prior presidential race. Cook Political Report rates the contest Safe Republican, and a late-May poll showed Baumgartner leading Conroy by six points. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 77%, with the Democratic share at 23%, reflecting the district's established partisan lean, Baumgartner's incumbency, and limited evidence of a competitive shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$39,454समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner advanced from the August 4, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 47% of the vote to face Democrat Carmela Conroy in the November general election for Washington's 5th congressional district. The eastern Washington seat, encompassing Spokane and surrounding rural areas, has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, including a double-digit Trump margin in the prior presidential race. Cook Political Report rates the contest Safe Republican, and a late-May poll showed Baumgartner leading Conroy by six points. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 77%, with the Democratic share at 23%, reflecting the district's established partisan lean, Baumgartner's incumbency, and limited evidence of a competitive shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$39,454समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner advanced from the August 4, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 47% of the vote to face Democrat Carmela Conroy in the November general election for Washington's 5th congressional district. The eastern Washington seat, encompassing Spokane and surrounding rural areas, has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, including a double-digit Trump margin in the prior presidential race. Cook Political Report rates the contest Safe Republican, and a late-May poll showed Baumgartner leading Conroy by six points. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 77%, with the Democratic share at 23%, reflecting the district's established partisan lean, Baumgartner's incumbency, and limited evidence of a competitive shift.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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