Incumbent Republican Rep. John Rose's decision to vacate the seat for a 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial bid has left TN-06—an open but solidly Republican district with a strong GOP history—as trader consensus prices Republicans at 92%, reflecting historical dominance where prior winners secured margins exceeding 25 points. Recent candidate filing deadlines on March 10 finalized a competitive Republican primary featuring well-funded former Rep. Van Hilleary with over $700,000 cash-on-hand, against minimal Democratic opposition like Andrew Koontz. No polling shows a contest, underscoring TN-06's safe status ahead of August 6 primaries and the November 3 general election. Scenarios to shift odds include a major GOP nominee scandal, late Democratic fundraising surge, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTN-06 House Election Winner
TN-06 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
7%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$4,361 वॉल्यूम
92%
Democratic Party
$0 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. John Rose's decision to vacate the seat for a 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial bid has left TN-06—an open but solidly Republican district with a strong GOP history—as trader consensus prices Republicans at 92%, reflecting historical dominance where prior winners secured margins exceeding 25 points. Recent candidate filing deadlines on March 10 finalized a competitive Republican primary featuring well-funded former Rep. Van Hilleary with over $700,000 cash-on-hand, against minimal Democratic opposition like Andrew Koontz. No polling shows a contest, underscoring TN-06's safe status ahead of August 6 primaries and the November 3 general election. Scenarios to shift odds include a major GOP nominee scandal, late Democratic fundraising surge, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,361समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. John Rose's decision to vacate the seat for a 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial bid has left TN-06—an open but solidly Republican district with a strong GOP history—as trader consensus prices Republicans at 92%, reflecting historical dominance where prior winners secured margins exceeding 25 points. Recent candidate filing deadlines on March 10 finalized a competitive Republican primary featuring well-funded former Rep. Van Hilleary with over $700,000 cash-on-hand, against minimal Democratic opposition like Andrew Koontz. No polling shows a contest, underscoring TN-06's safe status ahead of August 6 primaries and the November 3 general election. Scenarios to shift odds include a major GOP nominee scandal, late Democratic fundraising surge, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$4,361समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. John Rose's decision to vacate the seat for a 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial bid has left TN-06—an open but solidly Republican district with a strong GOP history—as trader consensus prices Republicans at 92%, reflecting historical dominance where prior winners secured margins exceeding 25 points. Recent candidate filing deadlines on March 10 finalized a competitive Republican primary featuring well-funded former Rep. Van Hilleary with over $700,000 cash-on-hand, against minimal Democratic opposition like Andrew Koontz. No polling shows a contest, underscoring TN-06's safe status ahead of August 6 primaries and the November 3 general election. Scenarios to shift odds include a major GOP nominee scandal, late Democratic fundraising surge, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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