Incumbent Suzan DelBene's strong performance in the August 2026 top-two primary, where she captured over 53 percent against a fragmented field, reinforces Democratic dominance in Washington's 1st congressional district. The seat carries a heavily Democratic partisan voting index and has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles, limiting Republican path-to-victory options despite Mary Silva advancing to the general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical base rates for safe Democratic districts and low turnover among incumbents. Late-breaking developments such as unexpected scandals, significant health events, or national political realignments could still shift probabilities before November, though structural factors make substantial movement unlikely.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWA -01 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
WA -01 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$43,355 वॉल्यूम
$43,355 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
2%
$43,355 वॉल्यूम
$43,355 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$23,511 वॉल्यूम
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$19,844 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Suzan DelBene's strong performance in the August 2026 top-two primary, where she captured over 53 percent against a fragmented field, reinforces Democratic dominance in Washington's 1st congressional district. The seat carries a heavily Democratic partisan voting index and has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles, limiting Republican path-to-victory options despite Mary Silva advancing to the general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical base rates for safe Democratic districts and low turnover among incumbents. Late-breaking developments such as unexpected scandals, significant health events, or national political realignments could still shift probabilities before November, though structural factors make substantial movement unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$43,355समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Suzan DelBene's strong performance in the August 2026 top-two primary, where she captured over 53 percent against a fragmented field, reinforces Democratic dominance in Washington's 1st congressional district. The seat carries a heavily Democratic partisan voting index and has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles, limiting Republican path-to-victory options despite Mary Silva advancing to the general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical base rates for safe Democratic districts and low turnover among incumbents. Late-breaking developments such as unexpected scandals, significant health events, or national political realignments could still shift probabilities before November, though structural factors make substantial movement unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$43,355समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Suzan DelBene's strong performance in the August 2026 top-two primary, where she captured over 53 percent against a fragmented field, reinforces Democratic dominance in Washington's 1st congressional district. The seat carries a heavily Democratic partisan voting index and has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles, limiting Republican path-to-victory options despite Mary Silva advancing to the general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical base rates for safe Democratic districts and low turnover among incumbents. Late-breaking developments such as unexpected scandals, significant health events, or national political realignments could still shift probabilities before November, though structural factors make substantial movement unlikely.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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