Incumbent Republican Matt Van Epps holds a commanding trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability to win reelection in Tennessee's 7th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's Solid Republican rating by Cook Political Report and strong GOP performance, including Donald Trump's 22-point 2024 victory there. Van Epps' narrow win in the December 2025 special election—despite Democratic overperformance amid low special turnout—bolsters incumbency advantage heading into the November 2026 general election, where higher turnout typically favors the Republican base. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days since candidate qualifying closed in March, with August 6 primaries set to select nominees from early fields including Democrat Joshua Sales. Democrats trail at 10.5%, underscoring their uphill path in this reliably red district.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTN-07 House Election Winner
TN-07 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
11%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$2,244 वॉल्यूम
89%
Democratic Party
$1,058 वॉल्यूम
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Matt Van Epps holds a commanding trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability to win reelection in Tennessee's 7th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's Solid Republican rating by Cook Political Report and strong GOP performance, including Donald Trump's 22-point 2024 victory there. Van Epps' narrow win in the December 2025 special election—despite Democratic overperformance amid low special turnout—bolsters incumbency advantage heading into the November 2026 general election, where higher turnout typically favors the Republican base. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days since candidate qualifying closed in March, with August 6 primaries set to select nominees from early fields including Democrat Joshua Sales. Democrats trail at 10.5%, underscoring their uphill path in this reliably red district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,302समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Matt Van Epps holds a commanding trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability to win reelection in Tennessee's 7th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's Solid Republican rating by Cook Political Report and strong GOP performance, including Donald Trump's 22-point 2024 victory there. Van Epps' narrow win in the December 2025 special election—despite Democratic overperformance amid low special turnout—bolsters incumbency advantage heading into the November 2026 general election, where higher turnout typically favors the Republican base. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days since candidate qualifying closed in March, with August 6 primaries set to select nominees from early fields including Democrat Joshua Sales. Democrats trail at 10.5%, underscoring their uphill path in this reliably red district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$3,302समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Matt Van Epps holds a commanding trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability to win reelection in Tennessee's 7th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's Solid Republican rating by Cook Political Report and strong GOP performance, including Donald Trump's 22-point 2024 victory there. Van Epps' narrow win in the December 2025 special election—despite Democratic overperformance amid low special turnout—bolsters incumbency advantage heading into the November 2026 general election, where higher turnout typically favors the Republican base. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days since candidate qualifying closed in March, with August 6 primaries set to select nominees from early fields including Democrat Joshua Sales. Democrats trail at 10.5%, underscoring their uphill path in this reliably red district.
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