Democratic incumbent Salud Carbajal holds a commanding position in California's 24th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district's D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index and solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. The seat's consistent partisan lean, combined with Carbajal's multiple terms in office and primary performance, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A Republican challenger has advanced to the general election but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and past results. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected candidate withdrawal could still alter the race dynamics within the resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -24 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
CA -24 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$19,136 वॉल्यूम
$19,136 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$19,136 वॉल्यूम
$19,136 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,250 वॉल्यूम
95%
Republican Party
$7,885 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Salud Carbajal holds a commanding position in California's 24th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district's D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index and solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. The seat's consistent partisan lean, combined with Carbajal's multiple terms in office and primary performance, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A Republican challenger has advanced to the general election but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and past results. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected candidate withdrawal could still alter the race dynamics within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$19,136समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Salud Carbajal holds a commanding position in California's 24th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district's D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index and solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. The seat's consistent partisan lean, combined with Carbajal's multiple terms in office and primary performance, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A Republican challenger has advanced to the general election but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and past results. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected candidate withdrawal could still alter the race dynamics within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$19,136समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Salud Carbajal holds a commanding position in California's 24th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district's D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index and solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. The seat's consistent partisan lean, combined with Carbajal's multiple terms in office and primary performance, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A Republican challenger has advanced to the general election but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and past results. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected candidate withdrawal could still alter the race dynamics within the resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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