Trader consensus favors Democrats at 68% to hold Florida's 14th Congressional District due to incumbent Kathy Castor's solid 15-point reelection victory in 2024 and the seat's D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index rating as Solid Democratic. The urban Tampa Bay district shifted rightward in 2024, with Kamala Harris winning by under eight points after Biden's 19-point margin in 2020, yet Castor remains unthreatened early in the cycle. A new statewide poll from April 15 signals tighter Florida races overall, contributing to the 29% Republican odds amid a crowded GOP primary featuring 2024 nominee Robert Rochford and recent challenger Shay Williams. Primaries are August 18, with the general on November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाFL -14 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
FL -14 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
68%
Republican Party
29%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,056 वॉल्यूम
68%
Republican Party
$3,895 वॉल्यूम
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors Democrats at 68% to hold Florida's 14th Congressional District due to incumbent Kathy Castor's solid 15-point reelection victory in 2024 and the seat's D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index rating as Solid Democratic. The urban Tampa Bay district shifted rightward in 2024, with Kamala Harris winning by under eight points after Biden's 19-point margin in 2020, yet Castor remains unthreatened early in the cycle. A new statewide poll from April 15 signals tighter Florida races overall, contributing to the 29% Republican odds amid a crowded GOP primary featuring 2024 nominee Robert Rochford and recent challenger Shay Williams. Primaries are August 18, with the general on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$8,951समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors Democrats at 68% to hold Florida's 14th Congressional District due to incumbent Kathy Castor's solid 15-point reelection victory in 2024 and the seat's D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index rating as Solid Democratic. The urban Tampa Bay district shifted rightward in 2024, with Kamala Harris winning by under eight points after Biden's 19-point margin in 2020, yet Castor remains unthreatened early in the cycle. A new statewide poll from April 15 signals tighter Florida races overall, contributing to the 29% Republican odds amid a crowded GOP primary featuring 2024 nominee Robert Rochford and recent challenger Shay Williams. Primaries are August 18, with the general on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$8,951समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Democrats at 68% to hold Florida's 14th Congressional District due to incumbent Kathy Castor's solid 15-point reelection victory in 2024 and the seat's D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index rating as Solid Democratic. The urban Tampa Bay district shifted rightward in 2024, with Kamala Harris winning by under eight points after Biden's 19-point margin in 2020, yet Castor remains unthreatened early in the cycle. A new statewide poll from April 15 signals tighter Florida races overall, contributing to the 29% Republican odds amid a crowded GOP primary featuring 2024 nominee Robert Rochford and recent challenger Shay Williams. Primaries are August 18, with the general on November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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