Jay Obernolte's position as the Republican incumbent in California's 23rd congressional district drives the current trader consensus, following his 57% finish in the June 2026 top-two primary that advanced him and Democrat Tessa Lynn Hodge to the November general election. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's recent voting patterns including a double-digit Republican presidential margin in 2024. Obernolte maintains a substantial edge in campaign resources and name recognition as a sitting member seeking a fourth term. Hodge, a clinical social worker, advanced as the leading Democrat but trails significantly in fundraising. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts or candidate-specific events could still influence the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -23 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
CA -23 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$61,915 वॉल्यूम
$61,915 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
जे ओबर्नोल्टे (रिपब्लिकन)
93%
टेस्सा लिन हॉज (डेमोक्रेटिक्स)
6%
$61,915 वॉल्यूम
$61,915 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
जे ओबर्नोल्टे (रिपब्लिकन)
$29,284 वॉल्यूम
93%
टेस्सा लिन हॉज (डेमोक्रेटिक्स)
$32,631 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jay Obernolte's position as the Republican incumbent in California's 23rd congressional district drives the current trader consensus, following his 57% finish in the June 2026 top-two primary that advanced him and Democrat Tessa Lynn Hodge to the November general election. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's recent voting patterns including a double-digit Republican presidential margin in 2024. Obernolte maintains a substantial edge in campaign resources and name recognition as a sitting member seeking a fourth term. Hodge, a clinical social worker, advanced as the leading Democrat but trails significantly in fundraising. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts or candidate-specific events could still influence the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$61,915समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jay Obernolte's position as the Republican incumbent in California's 23rd congressional district drives the current trader consensus, following his 57% finish in the June 2026 top-two primary that advanced him and Democrat Tessa Lynn Hodge to the November general election. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's recent voting patterns including a double-digit Republican presidential margin in 2024. Obernolte maintains a substantial edge in campaign resources and name recognition as a sitting member seeking a fourth term. Hodge, a clinical social worker, advanced as the leading Democrat but trails significantly in fundraising. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts or candidate-specific events could still influence the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$61,915समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Jay Obernolte's position as the Republican incumbent in California's 23rd congressional district drives the current trader consensus, following his 57% finish in the June 2026 top-two primary that advanced him and Democrat Tessa Lynn Hodge to the November general election. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's recent voting patterns including a double-digit Republican presidential margin in 2024. Obernolte maintains a substantial edge in campaign resources and name recognition as a sitting member seeking a fourth term. Hodge, a clinical social worker, advanced as the leading Democrat but trails significantly in fundraising. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts or candidate-specific events could still influence the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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