Republican incumbent Jay Obernolte advanced comfortably from California's June 2 top-two primary in the 23rd congressional district, capturing roughly 58 percent and facing Democrat Tessa Lynn Hodge in the November general election. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+8 to R+9, combined with its voter registration edge and Obernolte's 60 percent win in 2024, underpins forecasters' Solid Republican ratings. Multiple Democratic primary candidates split opposition votes, limiting crossover potential in this Central Valley seat. No major developments since the primary have altered the structural balance, supporting trader consensus favoring Republican retention of the seat.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -23 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
CA -23 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$10,484 वॉल्यूम
$10,484 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
14%
$10,484 वॉल्यूम
$10,484 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$7,370 वॉल्यूम
85%
Democratic Party
$3,115 वॉल्यूम
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Jay Obernolte advanced comfortably from California's June 2 top-two primary in the 23rd congressional district, capturing roughly 58 percent and facing Democrat Tessa Lynn Hodge in the November general election. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+8 to R+9, combined with its voter registration edge and Obernolte's 60 percent win in 2024, underpins forecasters' Solid Republican ratings. Multiple Democratic primary candidates split opposition votes, limiting crossover potential in this Central Valley seat. No major developments since the primary have altered the structural balance, supporting trader consensus favoring Republican retention of the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$10,484समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Jay Obernolte advanced comfortably from California's June 2 top-two primary in the 23rd congressional district, capturing roughly 58 percent and facing Democrat Tessa Lynn Hodge in the November general election. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+8 to R+9, combined with its voter registration edge and Obernolte's 60 percent win in 2024, underpins forecasters' Solid Republican ratings. Multiple Democratic primary candidates split opposition votes, limiting crossover potential in this Central Valley seat. No major developments since the primary have altered the structural balance, supporting trader consensus favoring Republican retention of the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$10,484समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Jay Obernolte advanced comfortably from California's June 2 top-two primary in the 23rd congressional district, capturing roughly 58 percent and facing Democrat Tessa Lynn Hodge in the November general election. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+8 to R+9, combined with its voter registration edge and Obernolte's 60 percent win in 2024, underpins forecasters' Solid Republican ratings. Multiple Democratic primary candidates split opposition votes, limiting crossover potential in this Central Valley seat. No major developments since the primary have altered the structural balance, supporting trader consensus favoring Republican retention of the seat.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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