Republican incumbent Tim Burchett secured the party nomination unopposed in the August 6, 2026 primary for Tennessee's 2nd congressional district, while Democrat Michaela Barnett advanced similarly on the other side. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+17, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in presidential voting and Burchett's 69% margin in the prior cycle. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. These structural factors—incumbency, district composition, and primary outcomes—underpin the market's 94.5% implied probability for a Republican win. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current positioning make such shifts unlikely to alter the result.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTN -02 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
TN -02 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$29,447 वॉल्यूम
$29,447 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
95%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
6%
$29,447 वॉल्यूम
$29,447 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$19,739 वॉल्यूम
95%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$9,708 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Tim Burchett secured the party nomination unopposed in the August 6, 2026 primary for Tennessee's 2nd congressional district, while Democrat Michaela Barnett advanced similarly on the other side. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+17, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in presidential voting and Burchett's 69% margin in the prior cycle. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. These structural factors—incumbency, district composition, and primary outcomes—underpin the market's 94.5% implied probability for a Republican win. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current positioning make such shifts unlikely to alter the result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$29,447समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Tim Burchett secured the party nomination unopposed in the August 6, 2026 primary for Tennessee's 2nd congressional district, while Democrat Michaela Barnett advanced similarly on the other side. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+17, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in presidential voting and Burchett's 69% margin in the prior cycle. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. These structural factors—incumbency, district composition, and primary outcomes—underpin the market's 94.5% implied probability for a Republican win. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current positioning make such shifts unlikely to alter the result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$29,447समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Tim Burchett secured the party nomination unopposed in the August 6, 2026 primary for Tennessee's 2nd congressional district, while Democrat Michaela Barnett advanced similarly on the other side. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+17, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in presidential voting and Burchett's 69% margin in the prior cycle. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. These structural factors—incumbency, district composition, and primary outcomes—underpin the market's 94.5% implied probability for a Republican win. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current positioning make such shifts unlikely to alter the result.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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