Incumbent Ami Bera holds a commanding position in California's 3rd Congressional District race due to the district's post-redistricting composition, which favors Democrats, combined with his long tenure, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million in cash on hand, and strong name recognition. Robb Tucker advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary but faces structural disadvantages in a seat rated safe or solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent developments since the primary. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting either candidate, or exceptional shifts in turnout among key voting blocs before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -03 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
CA -03 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$43,607 वॉल्यूम
$43,607 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
आमी बेरा (डेमोक्रेट)
96%
रॉब टकर (रिपब्लिकन)
3%
$43,607 वॉल्यूम
$43,607 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
आमी बेरा (डेमोक्रेट)
$25,988 वॉल्यूम
96%
रॉब टकर (रिपब्लिकन)
$17,619 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ami Bera holds a commanding position in California's 3rd Congressional District race due to the district's post-redistricting composition, which favors Democrats, combined with his long tenure, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million in cash on hand, and strong name recognition. Robb Tucker advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary but faces structural disadvantages in a seat rated safe or solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent developments since the primary. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting either candidate, or exceptional shifts in turnout among key voting blocs before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$43,607समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ami Bera holds a commanding position in California's 3rd Congressional District race due to the district's post-redistricting composition, which favors Democrats, combined with his long tenure, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million in cash on hand, and strong name recognition. Robb Tucker advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary but faces structural disadvantages in a seat rated safe or solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent developments since the primary. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting either candidate, or exceptional shifts in turnout among key voting blocs before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$43,607समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ami Bera holds a commanding position in California's 3rd Congressional District race due to the district's post-redistricting composition, which favors Democrats, combined with his long tenure, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million in cash on hand, and strong name recognition. Robb Tucker advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary but faces structural disadvantages in a seat rated safe or solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent developments since the primary. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting either candidate, or exceptional shifts in turnout among key voting blocs before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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