Incumbent Keith Self holds a commanding position in the Texas 3rd congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 to R+11 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's roughly 60 percent share of the 2024 presidential vote there. Self secured renomination with over 80 percent in the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Evan Hunt advanced unopposed. Independent race raters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus around Self's 93.5 percent implied probability. Hunt's campaign has focused on virtual town halls and debate challenges, yet structural factors such as incumbency, fundraising, and district composition limit his prospects. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include significant national political shifts or unforeseen candidate developments before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTX -03 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
TX -03 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$35,636 वॉल्यूम
$35,636 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
कीथ सेल्फ (रिपब्लिकन)
94%
इवान हंट (डेमोक्रेटिक)
6%
$35,636 वॉल्यूम
$35,636 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
कीथ सेल्फ (रिपब्लिकन)
$24,383 वॉल्यूम
94%
इवान हंट (डेमोक्रेटिक)
$11,253 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Keith Self holds a commanding position in the Texas 3rd congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 to R+11 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's roughly 60 percent share of the 2024 presidential vote there. Self secured renomination with over 80 percent in the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Evan Hunt advanced unopposed. Independent race raters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus around Self's 93.5 percent implied probability. Hunt's campaign has focused on virtual town halls and debate challenges, yet structural factors such as incumbency, fundraising, and district composition limit his prospects. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include significant national political shifts or unforeseen candidate developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$35,636समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Keith Self holds a commanding position in the Texas 3rd congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 to R+11 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's roughly 60 percent share of the 2024 presidential vote there. Self secured renomination with over 80 percent in the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Evan Hunt advanced unopposed. Independent race raters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus around Self's 93.5 percent implied probability. Hunt's campaign has focused on virtual town halls and debate challenges, yet structural factors such as incumbency, fundraising, and district composition limit his prospects. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include significant national political shifts or unforeseen candidate developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$35,636समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Keith Self holds a commanding position in the Texas 3rd congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 to R+11 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's roughly 60 percent share of the 2024 presidential vote there. Self secured renomination with over 80 percent in the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Evan Hunt advanced unopposed. Independent race raters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus around Self's 93.5 percent implied probability. Hunt's campaign has focused on virtual town halls and debate challenges, yet structural factors such as incumbency, fundraising, and district composition limit his prospects. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include significant national political shifts or unforeseen candidate developments before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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