Incumbent Republican Keith Self's decisive win in the March 3 Texas primary has solidified trader consensus at 87.5% for a GOP hold in TX-03, a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report following mid-decade redistricting that added rural eastern counties bolstering its partisan lean. Self faces Democratic nominee Evan Hunt, a retired Air Force veteran, in the November 3 general election, but the race lacks competitive polling or fundraising parity, with Self maintaining a financial edge amid historical GOP margins exceeding 20 points. Absent late-breaking scandals, health issues, or national midterm waves, structural advantages like incumbency and suburban Collin County dominance sustain the high implied probability for Republicans.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTX -03 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
TX -03 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$12,122 वॉल्यूम
$12,122 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
88%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
11%
$12,122 वॉल्यूम
$12,122 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$6,560 वॉल्यूम
88%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$5,563 वॉल्यूम
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Keith Self's decisive win in the March 3 Texas primary has solidified trader consensus at 87.5% for a GOP hold in TX-03, a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report following mid-decade redistricting that added rural eastern counties bolstering its partisan lean. Self faces Democratic nominee Evan Hunt, a retired Air Force veteran, in the November 3 general election, but the race lacks competitive polling or fundraising parity, with Self maintaining a financial edge amid historical GOP margins exceeding 20 points. Absent late-breaking scandals, health issues, or national midterm waves, structural advantages like incumbency and suburban Collin County dominance sustain the high implied probability for Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$12,122समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Keith Self's decisive win in the March 3 Texas primary has solidified trader consensus at 87.5% for a GOP hold in TX-03, a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report following mid-decade redistricting that added rural eastern counties bolstering its partisan lean. Self faces Democratic nominee Evan Hunt, a retired Air Force veteran, in the November 3 general election, but the race lacks competitive polling or fundraising parity, with Self maintaining a financial edge amid historical GOP margins exceeding 20 points. Absent late-breaking scandals, health issues, or national midterm waves, structural advantages like incumbency and suburban Collin County dominance sustain the high implied probability for Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$12,122समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Keith Self's decisive win in the March 3 Texas primary has solidified trader consensus at 87.5% for a GOP hold in TX-03, a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report following mid-decade redistricting that added rural eastern counties bolstering its partisan lean. Self faces Democratic nominee Evan Hunt, a retired Air Force veteran, in the November 3 general election, but the race lacks competitive polling or fundraising parity, with Self maintaining a financial edge amid historical GOP margins exceeding 20 points. Absent late-breaking scandals, health issues, or national midterm waves, structural advantages like incumbency and suburban Collin County dominance sustain the high implied probability for Republicans.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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