Trader consensus in the IA-03 House race favors Democrats at 66.5%, reflecting recent polls showing state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott leading incumbent Rep. Zach Nunn by double digits, such as a January survey with her at 53% to his 40%. The Democratic primary field consolidated in late March after challengers withdrew or were disqualified, positioning Trone Garriott as the likely nominee ahead of the June 2 primaries, where Nunn faces no GOP opposition. Cook Political Report's shift to Toss-up from Lean Republican underscores the district's R+2 competitiveness, amplified by historical midterm headwinds for the president's party in this battleground encompassing Des Moines metro suburbs. Fundraising favors Nunn, but polling trends and national dynamics drive the Democratic edge.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाIA-03 House Election Winner
IA-03 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
67%
Republican Party
31%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$420 वॉल्यूम
67%
Republican Party
$82 वॉल्यूम
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus in the IA-03 House race favors Democrats at 66.5%, reflecting recent polls showing state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott leading incumbent Rep. Zach Nunn by double digits, such as a January survey with her at 53% to his 40%. The Democratic primary field consolidated in late March after challengers withdrew or were disqualified, positioning Trone Garriott as the likely nominee ahead of the June 2 primaries, where Nunn faces no GOP opposition. Cook Political Report's shift to Toss-up from Lean Republican underscores the district's R+2 competitiveness, amplified by historical midterm headwinds for the president's party in this battleground encompassing Des Moines metro suburbs. Fundraising favors Nunn, but polling trends and national dynamics drive the Democratic edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$502समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus in the IA-03 House race favors Democrats at 66.5%, reflecting recent polls showing state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott leading incumbent Rep. Zach Nunn by double digits, such as a January survey with her at 53% to his 40%. The Democratic primary field consolidated in late March after challengers withdrew or were disqualified, positioning Trone Garriott as the likely nominee ahead of the June 2 primaries, where Nunn faces no GOP opposition. Cook Political Report's shift to Toss-up from Lean Republican underscores the district's R+2 competitiveness, amplified by historical midterm headwinds for the president's party in this battleground encompassing Des Moines metro suburbs. Fundraising favors Nunn, but polling trends and national dynamics drive the Democratic edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$502समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the IA-03 House race favors Democrats at 66.5%, reflecting recent polls showing state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott leading incumbent Rep. Zach Nunn by double digits, such as a January survey with her at 53% to his 40%. The Democratic primary field consolidated in late March after challengers withdrew or were disqualified, positioning Trone Garriott as the likely nominee ahead of the June 2 primaries, where Nunn faces no GOP opposition. Cook Political Report's shift to Toss-up from Lean Republican underscores the district's R+2 competitiveness, amplified by historical midterm headwinds for the president's party in this battleground encompassing Des Moines metro suburbs. Fundraising favors Nunn, but polling trends and national dynamics drive the Democratic edge.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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