Incumbent Rep. LaMonica McIver's commanding 92.5% trader consensus in New Jersey's 10th Congressional District reflects the seat's deep-blue Cook PVI of D+27—the 20th most Democratic nationwide—bolstered by unanimous Solid/Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball as of mid-April 2026. McIver, who won a 2024 special election with 81% amid strong fundraising ($1.6 million receipts), faces a token Democratic primary challenge from Lawrence Poster on June 2, while Republican Carmen Bucco, a prior loser, headlines the GOP ballot in this Newark-anchored district that gave Democrats 75% in 2024 presidential voting. Pending federal assault charges from a 2025 ICE facility visit have not eroded odds, viewed by traders as politically motivated without imminent trial impact. Realistic challenges include a primary upset, conviction before November 3, or extraordinary national midterm dynamics, though structural barriers remain high.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNJ -10 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
NJ -10 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$14,838 वॉल्यूम
$14,838 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
7%
$14,838 वॉल्यूम
$14,838 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$7,360 वॉल्यूम
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$7,478 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. LaMonica McIver's commanding 92.5% trader consensus in New Jersey's 10th Congressional District reflects the seat's deep-blue Cook PVI of D+27—the 20th most Democratic nationwide—bolstered by unanimous Solid/Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball as of mid-April 2026. McIver, who won a 2024 special election with 81% amid strong fundraising ($1.6 million receipts), faces a token Democratic primary challenge from Lawrence Poster on June 2, while Republican Carmen Bucco, a prior loser, headlines the GOP ballot in this Newark-anchored district that gave Democrats 75% in 2024 presidential voting. Pending federal assault charges from a 2025 ICE facility visit have not eroded odds, viewed by traders as politically motivated without imminent trial impact. Realistic challenges include a primary upset, conviction before November 3, or extraordinary national midterm dynamics, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$14,838समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. LaMonica McIver's commanding 92.5% trader consensus in New Jersey's 10th Congressional District reflects the seat's deep-blue Cook PVI of D+27—the 20th most Democratic nationwide—bolstered by unanimous Solid/Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball as of mid-April 2026. McIver, who won a 2024 special election with 81% amid strong fundraising ($1.6 million receipts), faces a token Democratic primary challenge from Lawrence Poster on June 2, while Republican Carmen Bucco, a prior loser, headlines the GOP ballot in this Newark-anchored district that gave Democrats 75% in 2024 presidential voting. Pending federal assault charges from a 2025 ICE facility visit have not eroded odds, viewed by traders as politically motivated without imminent trial impact. Realistic challenges include a primary upset, conviction before November 3, or extraordinary national midterm dynamics, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$14,838समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. LaMonica McIver's commanding 92.5% trader consensus in New Jersey's 10th Congressional District reflects the seat's deep-blue Cook PVI of D+27—the 20th most Democratic nationwide—bolstered by unanimous Solid/Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball as of mid-April 2026. McIver, who won a 2024 special election with 81% amid strong fundraising ($1.6 million receipts), faces a token Democratic primary challenge from Lawrence Poster on June 2, while Republican Carmen Bucco, a prior loser, headlines the GOP ballot in this Newark-anchored district that gave Democrats 75% in 2024 presidential voting. Pending federal assault charges from a 2025 ICE facility visit have not eroded odds, viewed by traders as politically motivated without imminent trial impact. Realistic challenges include a primary upset, conviction before November 3, or extraordinary national midterm dynamics, though structural barriers remain high.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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