Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th congressional district in the June 2026 primary by defeating incumbent Daniel Goldman by roughly 32 points, reflecting strong voter consolidation in a district with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30. This outcome, combined with the seat’s long history of Democratic dominance and low Republican turnout in general elections, underpins the trader consensus reflected in the 98.4% probability for the Democratic Party. Jennifer Moore’s Republican nomination faces structural barriers typical of such districts. Late developments such as a significant scandal, candidate health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still alter the trajectory before the November 3, 2026 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNY -10 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
NY -10 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$53,820 वॉल्यूम
$53,820 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
97%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
<1%
$53,820 वॉल्यूम
$53,820 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$16,728 वॉल्यूम
97%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$37,092 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th congressional district in the June 2026 primary by defeating incumbent Daniel Goldman by roughly 32 points, reflecting strong voter consolidation in a district with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30. This outcome, combined with the seat’s long history of Democratic dominance and low Republican turnout in general elections, underpins the trader consensus reflected in the 98.4% probability for the Democratic Party. Jennifer Moore’s Republican nomination faces structural barriers typical of such districts. Late developments such as a significant scandal, candidate health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still alter the trajectory before the November 3, 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$53,820समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th congressional district in the June 2026 primary by defeating incumbent Daniel Goldman by roughly 32 points, reflecting strong voter consolidation in a district with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30. This outcome, combined with the seat’s long history of Democratic dominance and low Republican turnout in general elections, underpins the trader consensus reflected in the 98.4% probability for the Democratic Party. Jennifer Moore’s Republican nomination faces structural barriers typical of such districts. Late developments such as a significant scandal, candidate health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still alter the trajectory before the November 3, 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$53,820समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th congressional district in the June 2026 primary by defeating incumbent Daniel Goldman by roughly 32 points, reflecting strong voter consolidation in a district with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30. This outcome, combined with the seat’s long history of Democratic dominance and low Republican turnout in general elections, underpins the trader consensus reflected in the 98.4% probability for the Democratic Party. Jennifer Moore’s Republican nomination faces structural barriers typical of such districts. Late developments such as a significant scandal, candidate health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still alter the trajectory before the November 3, 2026 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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