Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren’s long tenure and the California 18th District’s consistent Democratic performance have anchored trader consensus around a party hold. The district, encompassing parts of Santa Clara County and surrounding areas including portions of San Jose, delivered a 64.6 percent margin for Lofgren in 2024 and carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+16. Her comfortable first-place finish in the June 2, 2026 primary further signaled limited intra-party or cross-party competition heading into the November general election. A Republican nominee advanced from the same primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have routinely exceeded 60 percent in recent cycles. Only an unforeseen late development such as an incumbent health issue or an unusually strong national Republican surge would likely alter the current market positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -18 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
CA -18 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$35,390 वॉल्यूम
$35,390 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
4%
$35,390 वॉल्यूम
$35,390 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$16,704 वॉल्यूम
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$18,686 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren’s long tenure and the California 18th District’s consistent Democratic performance have anchored trader consensus around a party hold. The district, encompassing parts of Santa Clara County and surrounding areas including portions of San Jose, delivered a 64.6 percent margin for Lofgren in 2024 and carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+16. Her comfortable first-place finish in the June 2, 2026 primary further signaled limited intra-party or cross-party competition heading into the November general election. A Republican nominee advanced from the same primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have routinely exceeded 60 percent in recent cycles. Only an unforeseen late development such as an incumbent health issue or an unusually strong national Republican surge would likely alter the current market positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$35,390समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren’s long tenure and the California 18th District’s consistent Democratic performance have anchored trader consensus around a party hold. The district, encompassing parts of Santa Clara County and surrounding areas including portions of San Jose, delivered a 64.6 percent margin for Lofgren in 2024 and carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+16. Her comfortable first-place finish in the June 2, 2026 primary further signaled limited intra-party or cross-party competition heading into the November general election. A Republican nominee advanced from the same primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have routinely exceeded 60 percent in recent cycles. Only an unforeseen late development such as an incumbent health issue or an unusually strong national Republican surge would likely alter the current market positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$35,390समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren’s long tenure and the California 18th District’s consistent Democratic performance have anchored trader consensus around a party hold. The district, encompassing parts of Santa Clara County and surrounding areas including portions of San Jose, delivered a 64.6 percent margin for Lofgren in 2024 and carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+16. Her comfortable first-place finish in the June 2, 2026 primary further signaled limited intra-party or cross-party competition heading into the November general election. A Republican nominee advanced from the same primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have routinely exceeded 60 percent in recent cycles. Only an unforeseen late development such as an incumbent health issue or an unusually strong national Republican surge would likely alter the current market positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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