Incumbent Rep. Madeleine Dean's strong reelection bid in Pennsylvania's safely Democratic 4th Congressional District, rated Solid D by Cook Political Report with a D+8 partisan voting index, drives the 91% trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Dean, unopposed in the May 19 Democratic primary and boasting over $1 million cash on hand, has secured double-digit general election victories since 2018, including 59%-41% in 2024 amid weak GOP opposition. The Republican primary pits low-fundraising challengers Aurora Stuski and Ismaine Ayouaz, with no polling indicating competitiveness. While national midterm wave dynamics or an unforeseen scandal could narrow odds, the district's suburban Philadelphia lean and incumbency advantage sustain this lopsided positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPA-04 House Election Winner
PA-04 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
8%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$0 वॉल्यूम
91%
Republican Party
$0 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Madeleine Dean's strong reelection bid in Pennsylvania's safely Democratic 4th Congressional District, rated Solid D by Cook Political Report with a D+8 partisan voting index, drives the 91% trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Dean, unopposed in the May 19 Democratic primary and boasting over $1 million cash on hand, has secured double-digit general election victories since 2018, including 59%-41% in 2024 amid weak GOP opposition. The Republican primary pits low-fundraising challengers Aurora Stuski and Ismaine Ayouaz, with no polling indicating competitiveness. While national midterm wave dynamics or an unforeseen scandal could narrow odds, the district's suburban Philadelphia lean and incumbency advantage sustain this lopsided positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Madeleine Dean's strong reelection bid in Pennsylvania's safely Democratic 4th Congressional District, rated Solid D by Cook Political Report with a D+8 partisan voting index, drives the 91% trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Dean, unopposed in the May 19 Democratic primary and boasting over $1 million cash on hand, has secured double-digit general election victories since 2018, including 59%-41% in 2024 amid weak GOP opposition. The Republican primary pits low-fundraising challengers Aurora Stuski and Ismaine Ayouaz, with no polling indicating competitiveness. While national midterm wave dynamics or an unforeseen scandal could narrow odds, the district's suburban Philadelphia lean and incumbency advantage sustain this lopsided positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Madeleine Dean's strong reelection bid in Pennsylvania's safely Democratic 4th Congressional District, rated Solid D by Cook Political Report with a D+8 partisan voting index, drives the 91% trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Dean, unopposed in the May 19 Democratic primary and boasting over $1 million cash on hand, has secured double-digit general election victories since 2018, including 59%-41% in 2024 amid weak GOP opposition. The Republican primary pits low-fundraising challengers Aurora Stuski and Ismaine Ayouaz, with no polling indicating competitiveness. While national midterm wave dynamics or an unforeseen scandal could narrow odds, the district's suburban Philadelphia lean and incumbency advantage sustain this lopsided positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न