Incumbent Democrat Madeleine Dean holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 4th congressional district, reflected in the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s D+8 partisan voter index, combined with Dean’s established record and fundraising edge since her 2019 election, underpins the lopsided odds. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican nominee Aurora Stuski, who won her May primary unopposed, faces structural headwinds in a suburban Montgomery County-heavy district that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Late developments such as a national partisan swing, significant polling movement, or unforeseen campaign events could still narrow the margin before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPA-04 House Election Winner
PA-04 House Election Winner
$19,259 वॉल्यूम
$19,259 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$19,259 वॉल्यूम
$19,259 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,759 वॉल्यूम
95%
Republican Party
$12,501 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Madeleine Dean holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 4th congressional district, reflected in the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s D+8 partisan voter index, combined with Dean’s established record and fundraising edge since her 2019 election, underpins the lopsided odds. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican nominee Aurora Stuski, who won her May primary unopposed, faces structural headwinds in a suburban Montgomery County-heavy district that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Late developments such as a national partisan swing, significant polling movement, or unforeseen campaign events could still narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$19,259समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Madeleine Dean holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 4th congressional district, reflected in the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s D+8 partisan voter index, combined with Dean’s established record and fundraising edge since her 2019 election, underpins the lopsided odds. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican nominee Aurora Stuski, who won her May primary unopposed, faces structural headwinds in a suburban Montgomery County-heavy district that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Late developments such as a national partisan swing, significant polling movement, or unforeseen campaign events could still narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$19,259समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Madeleine Dean holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 4th congressional district, reflected in the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s D+8 partisan voter index, combined with Dean’s established record and fundraising edge since her 2019 election, underpins the lopsided odds. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican nominee Aurora Stuski, who won her May primary unopposed, faces structural headwinds in a suburban Montgomery County-heavy district that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Late developments such as a national partisan swing, significant polling movement, or unforeseen campaign events could still narrow the margin before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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