Incumbent Republican Mike Kennedy's strong fundraising—$370,000 cash on hand—and position in a safely Republican district with Cook PVI R+17 underpin trader consensus at 90.5% for the GOP in Utah's 4th Congressional District House race. Following court-imposed redistricting and Rep. Burgess Owens' March retirement announcement, Kennedy shifted into this seat after his 2024 victory, facing a crowded but non-threatening GOP primary field including Pasitale Lupeamanu and Seth Stewart, while Democrats field low-funded Archie Williams III and Jonny Larsen. Party conventions on April 25 could solidify nominees ahead of the June 23 primaries and November general election. Odds could shift via GOP primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, Kennedy scandal, or national Democratic midterm wave.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाUT-04 House Election Winner
UT-04 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$857 वॉल्यूम
91%
Democratic Party
$2,061 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Kennedy's strong fundraising—$370,000 cash on hand—and position in a safely Republican district with Cook PVI R+17 underpin trader consensus at 90.5% for the GOP in Utah's 4th Congressional District House race. Following court-imposed redistricting and Rep. Burgess Owens' March retirement announcement, Kennedy shifted into this seat after his 2024 victory, facing a crowded but non-threatening GOP primary field including Pasitale Lupeamanu and Seth Stewart, while Democrats field low-funded Archie Williams III and Jonny Larsen. Party conventions on April 25 could solidify nominees ahead of the June 23 primaries and November general election. Odds could shift via GOP primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, Kennedy scandal, or national Democratic midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,918समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Kennedy's strong fundraising—$370,000 cash on hand—and position in a safely Republican district with Cook PVI R+17 underpin trader consensus at 90.5% for the GOP in Utah's 4th Congressional District House race. Following court-imposed redistricting and Rep. Burgess Owens' March retirement announcement, Kennedy shifted into this seat after his 2024 victory, facing a crowded but non-threatening GOP primary field including Pasitale Lupeamanu and Seth Stewart, while Democrats field low-funded Archie Williams III and Jonny Larsen. Party conventions on April 25 could solidify nominees ahead of the June 23 primaries and November general election. Odds could shift via GOP primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, Kennedy scandal, or national Democratic midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$2,918समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Kennedy's strong fundraising—$370,000 cash on hand—and position in a safely Republican district with Cook PVI R+17 underpin trader consensus at 90.5% for the GOP in Utah's 4th Congressional District House race. Following court-imposed redistricting and Rep. Burgess Owens' March retirement announcement, Kennedy shifted into this seat after his 2024 victory, facing a crowded but non-threatening GOP primary field including Pasitale Lupeamanu and Seth Stewart, while Democrats field low-funded Archie Williams III and Jonny Larsen. Party conventions on April 25 could solidify nominees ahead of the June 23 primaries and November general election. Odds could shift via GOP primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, Kennedy scandal, or national Democratic midterm wave.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न