Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability to win Oregon's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's strong D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Rep. Maxine Dexter's commanding position ahead of the May 19, 2026, primaries. Dexter, who won 67.7% in her 2024 general election debut, boasts over $650,000 in receipts through late 2025—dwarfing her two Democratic primary challengers and the lone Republican contender, Loran Ayles, who reports no fundraising. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic due to incumbency advantage, progressive leadership support, and Portland-area voter leanings. While a national Republican midterm wave or Dexter scandal could shift dynamics, such barriers keep GOP odds slim at 6.5% barring late developments before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाOR-03 House Election Winner
OR-03 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$487 वॉल्यूम
94%
Republican Party
$0 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability to win Oregon's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's strong D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Rep. Maxine Dexter's commanding position ahead of the May 19, 2026, primaries. Dexter, who won 67.7% in her 2024 general election debut, boasts over $650,000 in receipts through late 2025—dwarfing her two Democratic primary challengers and the lone Republican contender, Loran Ayles, who reports no fundraising. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic due to incumbency advantage, progressive leadership support, and Portland-area voter leanings. While a national Republican midterm wave or Dexter scandal could shift dynamics, such barriers keep GOP odds slim at 6.5% barring late developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$487समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability to win Oregon's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's strong D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Rep. Maxine Dexter's commanding position ahead of the May 19, 2026, primaries. Dexter, who won 67.7% in her 2024 general election debut, boasts over $650,000 in receipts through late 2025—dwarfing her two Democratic primary challengers and the lone Republican contender, Loran Ayles, who reports no fundraising. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic due to incumbency advantage, progressive leadership support, and Portland-area voter leanings. While a national Republican midterm wave or Dexter scandal could shift dynamics, such barriers keep GOP odds slim at 6.5% barring late developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$487समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability to win Oregon's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's strong D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Rep. Maxine Dexter's commanding position ahead of the May 19, 2026, primaries. Dexter, who won 67.7% in her 2024 general election debut, boasts over $650,000 in receipts through late 2025—dwarfing her two Democratic primary challengers and the lone Republican contender, Loran Ayles, who reports no fundraising. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic due to incumbency advantage, progressive leadership support, and Portland-area voter leanings. While a national Republican midterm wave or Dexter scandal could shift dynamics, such barriers keep GOP odds slim at 6.5% barring late developments before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न