Maxine Dexter's renomination as the Democratic incumbent in Oregon's strongly Democratic 3rd district, rated D+24 by partisan voting index measures, underpins the market's 94% implied probability for a Democratic win. The district's consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, combined with Dexter's primary performance exceeding 87% against limited challengers, reinforces trader expectations of continuity. Republican nominee Loran Ayles faces structural barriers in a seat where Democrats have held the seat for decades. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, incumbent health issue, or national political realignment could still shift the narrow Republican odds, though no such catalysts have emerged ahead of the November 2026 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाOR-03 House Election Winner
OR-03 House Election Winner
$13,396 वॉल्यूम
$13,396 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$13,396 वॉल्यूम
$13,396 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,633 वॉल्यूम
94%
Republican Party
$8,762 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maxine Dexter's renomination as the Democratic incumbent in Oregon's strongly Democratic 3rd district, rated D+24 by partisan voting index measures, underpins the market's 94% implied probability for a Democratic win. The district's consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, combined with Dexter's primary performance exceeding 87% against limited challengers, reinforces trader expectations of continuity. Republican nominee Loran Ayles faces structural barriers in a seat where Democrats have held the seat for decades. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, incumbent health issue, or national political realignment could still shift the narrow Republican odds, though no such catalysts have emerged ahead of the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,396समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maxine Dexter's renomination as the Democratic incumbent in Oregon's strongly Democratic 3rd district, rated D+24 by partisan voting index measures, underpins the market's 94% implied probability for a Democratic win. The district's consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, combined with Dexter's primary performance exceeding 87% against limited challengers, reinforces trader expectations of continuity. Republican nominee Loran Ayles faces structural barriers in a seat where Democrats have held the seat for decades. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, incumbent health issue, or national political realignment could still shift the narrow Republican odds, though no such catalysts have emerged ahead of the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$13,396समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maxine Dexter's renomination as the Democratic incumbent in Oregon's strongly Democratic 3rd district, rated D+24 by partisan voting index measures, underpins the market's 94% implied probability for a Democratic win. The district's consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, combined with Dexter's primary performance exceeding 87% against limited challengers, reinforces trader expectations of continuity. Republican nominee Loran Ayles faces structural barriers in a seat where Democrats have held the seat for decades. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, incumbent health issue, or national political realignment could still shift the narrow Republican odds, though no such catalysts have emerged ahead of the November 2026 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न