Incumbent Rep. Val Hoyle's strong reelection bid in solidly Democratic Oregon's 4th Congressional District, rated Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball (upgraded March 2026) and Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, anchors trader consensus at 91% for Democrats. The district's D+6 Cook PVI and Democratic hold since the 1970s, bolstered by Hoyle's 51.7% win over Monique DeSpain in 2024, underscore limited GOP viability despite DeSpain's likely renomination in the May 19 primary. Hoyle leads challengers in fundraising with $386,000 cash on hand as of late 2025. Realistic challenges include a Democratic primary upset by Dan Bahlen or Melissa Bird, GOP national investment amid a midterm Republican wave, incumbent scandal, or late health/legal issues.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाOR -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
OR -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
9%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,313 वॉल्यूम
91%
Republican Party
$87 वॉल्यूम
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Val Hoyle's strong reelection bid in solidly Democratic Oregon's 4th Congressional District, rated Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball (upgraded March 2026) and Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, anchors trader consensus at 91% for Democrats. The district's D+6 Cook PVI and Democratic hold since the 1970s, bolstered by Hoyle's 51.7% win over Monique DeSpain in 2024, underscore limited GOP viability despite DeSpain's likely renomination in the May 19 primary. Hoyle leads challengers in fundraising with $386,000 cash on hand as of late 2025. Realistic challenges include a Democratic primary upset by Dan Bahlen or Melissa Bird, GOP national investment amid a midterm Republican wave, incumbent scandal, or late health/legal issues.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,401समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Val Hoyle's strong reelection bid in solidly Democratic Oregon's 4th Congressional District, rated Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball (upgraded March 2026) and Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, anchors trader consensus at 91% for Democrats. The district's D+6 Cook PVI and Democratic hold since the 1970s, bolstered by Hoyle's 51.7% win over Monique DeSpain in 2024, underscore limited GOP viability despite DeSpain's likely renomination in the May 19 primary. Hoyle leads challengers in fundraising with $386,000 cash on hand as of late 2025. Realistic challenges include a Democratic primary upset by Dan Bahlen or Melissa Bird, GOP national investment amid a midterm Republican wave, incumbent scandal, or late health/legal issues.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$7,401समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Val Hoyle's strong reelection bid in solidly Democratic Oregon's 4th Congressional District, rated Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball (upgraded March 2026) and Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, anchors trader consensus at 91% for Democrats. The district's D+6 Cook PVI and Democratic hold since the 1970s, bolstered by Hoyle's 51.7% win over Monique DeSpain in 2024, underscore limited GOP viability despite DeSpain's likely renomination in the May 19 primary. Hoyle leads challengers in fundraising with $386,000 cash on hand as of late 2025. Realistic challenges include a Democratic primary upset by Dan Bahlen or Melissa Bird, GOP national investment amid a midterm Republican wave, incumbent scandal, or late health/legal issues.
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