Virginia traders price a new congressional map at 85.5% likely for the 2026 midterms, driven by robust early voting turnout exceeding prior gubernatorial elections—nearing 1 million ballots as of mid-April ahead of the April 21 special election referendum. Recent polls, including a Washington Post/Schar survey (March 26-31) showing 52% yes support among likely voters, bolster confidence despite narrow margins and some opposition leads in earlier surveys. The Democratic-controlled General Assembly passed House Bill 29 in February, proposing a map shifting to 10 Democratic-leaning districts based on 2025 gubernatorial results, after Virginia Supreme Court rulings in February and March cleared legal challenges. If approved, it overrides the 2021 commission map through 2030; rejection keeps the status quo.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानया
नया
3 नव, 2026
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia traders price a new congressional map at 85.5% likely for the 2026 midterms, driven by robust early voting turnout exceeding prior gubernatorial elections—nearing 1 million ballots as of mid-April ahead of the April 21 special election referendum. Recent polls, including a Washington Post/Schar survey (March 26-31) showing 52% yes support among likely voters, bolster confidence despite narrow margins and some opposition leads in earlier surveys. The Democratic-controlled General Assembly passed House Bill 29 in February, proposing a map shifting to 10 Democratic-leaning districts based on 2025 gubernatorial results, after Virginia Supreme Court rulings in February and March cleared legal challenges. If approved, it overrides the 2021 commission map through 2030; rejection keeps the status quo.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$408समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia traders price a new congressional map at 85.5% likely for the 2026 midterms, driven by robust early voting turnout exceeding prior gubernatorial elections—nearing 1 million ballots as of mid-April ahead of the April 21 special election referendum. Recent polls, including a Washington Post/Schar survey (March 26-31) showing 52% yes support among likely voters, bolster confidence despite narrow margins and some opposition leads in earlier surveys. The Democratic-controlled General Assembly passed House Bill 29 in February, proposing a map shifting to 10 Democratic-leaning districts based on 2025 gubernatorial results, after Virginia Supreme Court rulings in February and March cleared legal challenges. If approved, it overrides the 2021 commission map through 2030; rejection keeps the status quo.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$408समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Virginia traders price a new congressional map at 85.5% likely for the 2026 midterms, driven by robust early voting turnout exceeding prior gubernatorial elections—nearing 1 million ballots as of mid-April ahead of the April 21 special election referendum. Recent polls, including a Washington Post/Schar survey (March 26-31) showing 52% yes support among likely voters, bolster confidence despite narrow margins and some opposition leads in earlier surveys. The Democratic-controlled General Assembly passed House Bill 29 in February, proposing a map shifting to 10 Democratic-leaning districts based on 2025 gubernatorial results, after Virginia Supreme Court rulings in February and March cleared legal challenges. If approved, it overrides the 2021 commission map through 2030; rejection keeps the status quo.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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