Traders price an 84.5% chance against Missouri Amendment 3 passing on November 3, 2026, reflecting skepticism over repealing the voter-approved 2024 constitutional right to reproductive freedom despite bundling it with a gender transition procedures ban for minors. A February SLU/YouGov poll showed 47% support versus 40% opposition among likely voters, with 12% undecided—a plurality but within the margin of error—while March surveys indicated the transgender care restriction boosts appeal among some but fails to overcome national trends favoring abortion access. Strong opposition from Planned Parenthood, ACLU of Missouri, and labor unions contrasts with endorsements from Republican leaders and Catholic bishops; the measure diverges from polling by implying low passage odds amid historical difficulty overturning direct voter initiatives.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWill the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 2, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Traders price an 84.5% chance against Missouri Amendment 3 passing on November 3, 2026, reflecting skepticism over repealing the voter-approved 2024 constitutional right to reproductive freedom despite bundling it with a gender transition procedures ban for minors. A February SLU/YouGov poll showed 47% support versus 40% opposition among likely voters, with 12% undecided—a plurality but within the margin of error—while March surveys indicated the transgender care restriction boosts appeal among some but fails to overcome national trends favoring abortion access. Strong opposition from Planned Parenthood, ACLU of Missouri, and labor unions contrasts with endorsements from Republican leaders and Catholic bishops; the measure diverges from polling by implying low passage odds amid historical difficulty overturning direct voter initiatives.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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