Incumbent Rep. Andrew Clyde dominates trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability for the GA-09 Republican primary on May 19, reflecting strong incumbency advantages including name recognition, committee experience, and $301,000 cash on hand from recent FEC filings, outpacing challengers despite competitive fundraising. Former Gainesville Mayor Sam Couvillon trails at 8.5% after leading a March 23 district GOP debate straw poll 63-35 over Clyde amid attacks on Clyde's local responsiveness, such as Hurricane Helene relief and hospital funding, while Hall County Commissioner Gregg Poole sits at 4.5% emphasizing affordability. Absent public polls, markets favor historical incumbent primary retention rates in safe Republican districts like GA-09, with late scandals or turnout surges as potential upset risks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाGA-09 Republican Primary Winner
GA-09 Republican Primary Winner
Andrew Clyde 88%
Sam Couvillon 9%
Gregg Poole 6%
नया
नया
19 मई, 2026
Andrew Clyde
88%
Sam Couvillon
9%
Gregg Poole
6%
Andrew Clyde 88%
Sam Couvillon 9%
Gregg Poole 6%
नया
नया
19 मई, 2026
Andrew Clyde
$335 वॉल्यूम
88%
Sam Couvillon
$121 वॉल्यूम
9%
Gregg Poole
$4,246 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Andrew Clyde dominates trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability for the GA-09 Republican primary on May 19, reflecting strong incumbency advantages including name recognition, committee experience, and $301,000 cash on hand from recent FEC filings, outpacing challengers despite competitive fundraising. Former Gainesville Mayor Sam Couvillon trails at 8.5% after leading a March 23 district GOP debate straw poll 63-35 over Clyde amid attacks on Clyde's local responsiveness, such as Hurricane Helene relief and hospital funding, while Hall County Commissioner Gregg Poole sits at 4.5% emphasizing affordability. Absent public polls, markets favor historical incumbent primary retention rates in safe Republican districts like GA-09, with late scandals or turnout surges as potential upset risks.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,703समाप्ति तिथि
19 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Andrew Clyde dominates trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability for the GA-09 Republican primary on May 19, reflecting strong incumbency advantages including name recognition, committee experience, and $301,000 cash on hand from recent FEC filings, outpacing challengers despite competitive fundraising. Former Gainesville Mayor Sam Couvillon trails at 8.5% after leading a March 23 district GOP debate straw poll 63-35 over Clyde amid attacks on Clyde's local responsiveness, such as Hurricane Helene relief and hospital funding, while Hall County Commissioner Gregg Poole sits at 4.5% emphasizing affordability. Absent public polls, markets favor historical incumbent primary retention rates in safe Republican districts like GA-09, with late scandals or turnout surges as potential upset risks.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$4,703समाप्ति तिथि
19 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Rep. Andrew Clyde dominates trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability for the GA-09 Republican primary on May 19, reflecting strong incumbency advantages including name recognition, committee experience, and $301,000 cash on hand from recent FEC filings, outpacing challengers despite competitive fundraising. Former Gainesville Mayor Sam Couvillon trails at 8.5% after leading a March 23 district GOP debate straw poll 63-35 over Clyde amid attacks on Clyde's local responsiveness, such as Hurricane Helene relief and hospital funding, while Hall County Commissioner Gregg Poole sits at 4.5% emphasizing affordability. Absent public polls, markets favor historical incumbent primary retention rates in safe Republican districts like GA-09, with late scandals or turnout surges as potential upset risks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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