Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds an 89% implied probability in the August 11, 2026 Democratic-Farmer-Labor primary for Minnesota’s 5th Congressional District, reflecting her established position, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $5 million, and recent DFL endorsement secured in May. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a local labor leader and DNC member who launched her bid in late 2025, trails at 9.5% amid limited reported resources and no comparable institutional backing. Other declared candidates including Julie Le register negligible market shares. Traders appear to weigh Omar’s reelection history and party support against the structural advantages of incumbency in a safely Democratic district, with the August primary date setting the resolution timeline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMN -05 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी विनर
MN -05 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी विनर
$26,074 वॉल्यूम
$26,074 वॉल्यूम
11 अग, 2026
इल्हान ओमर
89%
लैटोन्या रीव्स
10%
$26,074 वॉल्यूम
$26,074 वॉल्यूम
11 अग, 2026
इल्हान ओमर
$20,788 वॉल्यूम
89%
लैटोन्या रीव्स
$5,286 वॉल्यूम
10%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds an 89% implied probability in the August 11, 2026 Democratic-Farmer-Labor primary for Minnesota’s 5th Congressional District, reflecting her established position, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $5 million, and recent DFL endorsement secured in May. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a local labor leader and DNC member who launched her bid in late 2025, trails at 9.5% amid limited reported resources and no comparable institutional backing. Other declared candidates including Julie Le register negligible market shares. Traders appear to weigh Omar’s reelection history and party support against the structural advantages of incumbency in a safely Democratic district, with the August primary date setting the resolution timeline.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$26,074समाप्ति तिथि
11 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds an 89% implied probability in the August 11, 2026 Democratic-Farmer-Labor primary for Minnesota’s 5th Congressional District, reflecting her established position, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $5 million, and recent DFL endorsement secured in May. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a local labor leader and DNC member who launched her bid in late 2025, trails at 9.5% amid limited reported resources and no comparable institutional backing. Other declared candidates including Julie Le register negligible market shares. Traders appear to weigh Omar’s reelection history and party support against the structural advantages of incumbency in a safely Democratic district, with the August primary date setting the resolution timeline.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$26,074समाप्ति तिथि
11 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds an 89% implied probability in the August 11, 2026 Democratic-Farmer-Labor primary for Minnesota’s 5th Congressional District, reflecting her established position, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $5 million, and recent DFL endorsement secured in May. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a local labor leader and DNC member who launched her bid in late 2025, trails at 9.5% amid limited reported resources and no comparable institutional backing. Other declared candidates including Julie Le register negligible market shares. Traders appear to weigh Omar’s reelection history and party support against the structural advantages of incumbency in a safely Democratic district, with the August primary date setting the resolution timeline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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