Matt Little leads the Minnesota 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary with 76% trader consensus, ahead of Kaela Berg and Matt Klein, as the open-seat contest nears its August 11 vote. Little built this position through strong precinct caucus straw poll results earlier in the year and consistent polling leads, including margins of 7 to 28 points in surveys from May and June. Berg and Klein trail with narrower support bases and lower name recognition among primary voters. Fundraising, endorsements, and media attention have also favored Little in recent months. With the primary only days away, the market reflects trader assessments of these momentum indicators and limited time for shifts before ballots are cast.