In New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on September 8, trader consensus positions Portsmouth businessman Anthony DiLorenzo as the narrow frontrunner at 54% implied probability, buoyed by NH GOP chair Steve Stepanek's March endorsement highlighting his electability to end the party's multi-decade losing streak in the district. Hollie Noveletsky trails closely at 42.5%, leveraging her U.S. Army Reserves background and recent attack ads criticizing DiLorenzo's past immigration amnesty support and donations to Democrats, alongside a strong Q1 fundraising announcement. No public polls have emerged since January's UNH survey showing undecided voters dominant, with first-quarter FEC reports due soon potentially swaying momentum in this fluid race.