Jay Feely holds an 78% implied probability in the AZ-01 Republican primary due to President Trump's endorsement, which prompted Feely to switch districts, combined with superior fundraising exceeding $725,000 plus a personal loan and high name recognition from his NFL career. State Representative Joseph Chaplik, at 19.7%, resigned his legislative seat to campaign full time but trails amid lower fundraising and attacks labeling him a frequent vote absentee. The July 21 primary in this open, competitive seat features limited polling and minor candidates drawing under 1% each, with trader consensus reflecting Feely's structural advantages in endorsements, resources, and visibility ahead of the contest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाजे फेली 79%
जोसेफ चैप्लिक 12.4%
मुचेल्ले उगेन्ती-रीटा <1%
जॉन ट्रोबो <1%
$424,695 वॉल्यूम
$424,695 वॉल्यूम
4 अग, 2026
जे फेली
79%
जोसेफ चैप्लिक
19%
मुचेल्ले उगेन्ती-रीटा
1%
जॉन ट्रोबो
1%
ब्रैंडन सॉवर्स
1%
जेसन ड्यूए
1%
मैट ग्रेस
<1%
टॉड ग्राहम
<1%
करी लेक
<1%
डेरिक गैलेगो
<1%
जीना स्वोबोदा
<1%
पॉल रीव्स
<1%
केटलिन पिरिंगटन
<1%
जे फेली 79%
जोसेफ चैप्लिक 12.4%
मुचेल्ले उगेन्ती-रीटा <1%
जॉन ट्रोबो <1%
$424,695 वॉल्यूम
$424,695 वॉल्यूम
4 अग, 2026
जे फेली
$8,407 वॉल्यूम
79%
जोसेफ चैप्लिक
$10,629 वॉल्यूम
19%
मुचेल्ले उगेन्ती-रीटा
$5,231 वॉल्यूम
1%
जॉन ट्रोबो
$3,940 वॉल्यूम
1%
ब्रैंडन सॉवर्स
$11,495 वॉल्यूम
1%
जेसन ड्यूए
$3,406 वॉल्यूम
1%
मैट ग्रेस
$48,967 वॉल्यूम
<1%
टॉड ग्राहम
$8,074 वॉल्यूम
<1%
करी लेक
$7,617 वॉल्यूम
<1%
डेरिक गैलेगो
$3,932 वॉल्यूम
<1%
जीना स्वोबोदा
$5,093 वॉल्यूम
<1%
पॉल रीव्स
$223,242 वॉल्यूम
<1%
केटलिन पिरिंगटन
$10,720 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jay Feely holds an 78% implied probability in the AZ-01 Republican primary due to President Trump's endorsement, which prompted Feely to switch districts, combined with superior fundraising exceeding $725,000 plus a personal loan and high name recognition from his NFL career. State Representative Joseph Chaplik, at 19.7%, resigned his legislative seat to campaign full time but trails amid lower fundraising and attacks labeling him a frequent vote absentee. The July 21 primary in this open, competitive seat features limited polling and minor candidates drawing under 1% each, with trader consensus reflecting Feely's structural advantages in endorsements, resources, and visibility ahead of the contest.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$424,695समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jay Feely holds an 78% implied probability in the AZ-01 Republican primary due to President Trump's endorsement, which prompted Feely to switch districts, combined with superior fundraising exceeding $725,000 plus a personal loan and high name recognition from his NFL career. State Representative Joseph Chaplik, at 19.7%, resigned his legislative seat to campaign full time but trails amid lower fundraising and attacks labeling him a frequent vote absentee. The July 21 primary in this open, competitive seat features limited polling and minor candidates drawing under 1% each, with trader consensus reflecting Feely's structural advantages in endorsements, resources, and visibility ahead of the contest.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$424,695समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jay Feely holds an 78% implied probability in the AZ-01 Republican primary due to President Trump's endorsement, which prompted Feely to switch districts, combined with superior fundraising exceeding $725,000 plus a personal loan and high name recognition from his NFL career. State Representative Joseph Chaplik, at 19.7%, resigned his legislative seat to campaign full time but trails amid lower fundraising and attacks labeling him a frequent vote absentee. The July 21 primary in this open, competitive seat features limited polling and minor candidates drawing under 1% each, with trader consensus reflecting Feely's structural advantages in endorsements, resources, and visibility ahead of the contest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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