Robert Kenyon leads the Makerfield by-election second-place market at 83% because Reform UK has established itself as the primary challenger in the constituency ahead of the 18 June poll. Recent Survation constituency polls show Labour’s Andy Burnham narrowly ahead on named-candidate ballots, yet Reform remains competitive on generic voting intention and benefits from strong local results in May. Burnham’s personal profile as Greater Manchester mayor narrows Labour’s vulnerability but still leaves Kenyon positioned well ahead of other candidates. Rebecca Shepherd and minor-party entrants register minimal support in the same surveys, keeping their second-place probabilities below 5%. The contest’s dynamics, shaped by turnout patterns and the short campaign period, reinforce trader consensus around Kenyon finishing second.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाRobert Kenyon 83%
Andy Burnham 9.0%
Rebecca Shepherd 4.2%
John Skipworth <1%
$66,759 वॉल्यूम
$66,759 वॉल्यूम
18 जून, 2026
Robert Kenyon
83%
Andy Burnham
9%
Rebecca Shepherd
4%
John Skipworth
1%
Simon Finkelstein
1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
Robert Kenyon 83%
Andy Burnham 9.0%
Rebecca Shepherd 4.2%
John Skipworth <1%
$66,759 वॉल्यूम
$66,759 वॉल्यूम
18 जून, 2026
Robert Kenyon
$4,438 वॉल्यूम
83%
Andy Burnham
$2,687 वॉल्यूम
9%
Rebecca Shepherd
$55,430 वॉल्यूम
4%
John Skipworth
$1,074 वॉल्यूम
1%
Simon Finkelstein
$1,369 वॉल्यूम
1%
James Thomas Bryer
$1,021 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Maria Deery
$740 वॉल्यूम
<1%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Robert Kenyon leads the Makerfield by-election second-place market at 83% because Reform UK has established itself as the primary challenger in the constituency ahead of the 18 June poll. Recent Survation constituency polls show Labour’s Andy Burnham narrowly ahead on named-candidate ballots, yet Reform remains competitive on generic voting intention and benefits from strong local results in May. Burnham’s personal profile as Greater Manchester mayor narrows Labour’s vulnerability but still leaves Kenyon positioned well ahead of other candidates. Rebecca Shepherd and minor-party entrants register minimal support in the same surveys, keeping their second-place probabilities below 5%. The contest’s dynamics, shaped by turnout patterns and the short campaign period, reinforce trader consensus around Kenyon finishing second.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
बाज़ार खुला: May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$66,759समाप्ति तिथि
18 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Robert Kenyon leads the Makerfield by-election second-place market at 83% because Reform UK has established itself as the primary challenger in the constituency ahead of the 18 June poll. Recent Survation constituency polls show Labour’s Andy Burnham narrowly ahead on named-candidate ballots, yet Reform remains competitive on generic voting intention and benefits from strong local results in May. Burnham’s personal profile as Greater Manchester mayor narrows Labour’s vulnerability but still leaves Kenyon positioned well ahead of other candidates. Rebecca Shepherd and minor-party entrants register minimal support in the same surveys, keeping their second-place probabilities below 5%. The contest’s dynamics, shaped by turnout patterns and the short campaign period, reinforce trader consensus around Kenyon finishing second.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
वॉल्यूम
$66,759समाप्ति तिथि
18 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Robert Kenyon leads the Makerfield by-election second-place market at 83% because Reform UK has established itself as the primary challenger in the constituency ahead of the 18 June poll. Recent Survation constituency polls show Labour’s Andy Burnham narrowly ahead on named-candidate ballots, yet Reform remains competitive on generic voting intention and benefits from strong local results in May. Burnham’s personal profile as Greater Manchester mayor narrows Labour’s vulnerability but still leaves Kenyon positioned well ahead of other candidates. Rebecca Shepherd and minor-party entrants register minimal support in the same surveys, keeping their second-place probabilities below 5%. The contest’s dynamics, shaped by turnout patterns and the short campaign period, reinforce trader consensus around Kenyon finishing second.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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