Former Hartford Mayor **Luke Bronin** leads trader consensus at 47% implied probability over incumbent Rep. **John Larson** (33.5%) in Connecticut's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary, driven by Bronin's April 13 TV ad launch calling for "new energy" after Larson's tenure since the 1990s and his fundraising superiority across recent quarters. Outside groups backing generational change against the 77-year-old Larson seeking a 15th term bolster Bronin's edge, despite Larson's late March internal poll showing a 49-26% lead and strong establishment endorsements. State Rep. **Jillian Gilchrest** (4.7%) and others trail in this competitive field, with the August 11 primary allowing shifts from further polls, debates, or turnout dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाLuke Bronin 47%
John Larson 23%
Jillian Gilchrest 4.5%
Ruth Fortune 4.3%
Luke Bronin
47%
John Larson
34%
Jillian Gilchrest
5%
Ruth Fortune
4%
Mark Stewart Greenstein
1%
Luke Bronin 47%
John Larson 23%
Jillian Gilchrest 4.5%
Ruth Fortune 4.3%
Luke Bronin
47%
John Larson
34%
Jillian Gilchrest
5%
Ruth Fortune
4%
Mark Stewart Greenstein
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Former Hartford Mayor **Luke Bronin** leads trader consensus at 47% implied probability over incumbent Rep. **John Larson** (33.5%) in Connecticut's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary, driven by Bronin's April 13 TV ad launch calling for "new energy" after Larson's tenure since the 1990s and his fundraising superiority across recent quarters. Outside groups backing generational change against the 77-year-old Larson seeking a 15th term bolster Bronin's edge, despite Larson's late March internal poll showing a 49-26% lead and strong establishment endorsements. State Rep. **Jillian Gilchrest** (4.7%) and others trail in this competitive field, with the August 11 primary allowing shifts from further polls, debates, or turnout dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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