California's 30th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+22 and consistent analyst ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Laura Friedman secured a decisive primary win on June 2, advancing with over 52 percent against multiple Democratic challengers to face Republican Scott Meyers in the top-two general. This outcome aligns with the seat's history of lopsided partisan results and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for Democrats incorporates these structural factors alongside Friedman's incumbency. A shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal or health issue involving the incumbent, or an exceptional national political realignment altering turnout.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -30 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
CA -30 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$22,831 वॉल्यूम
$22,831 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
6%
$22,831 वॉल्यूम
$22,831 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$12,811 वॉल्यूम
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$10,021 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 30th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+22 and consistent analyst ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Laura Friedman secured a decisive primary win on June 2, advancing with over 52 percent against multiple Democratic challengers to face Republican Scott Meyers in the top-two general. This outcome aligns with the seat's history of lopsided partisan results and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for Democrats incorporates these structural factors alongside Friedman's incumbency. A shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal or health issue involving the incumbent, or an exceptional national political realignment altering turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$22,831समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 30th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+22 and consistent analyst ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Laura Friedman secured a decisive primary win on June 2, advancing with over 52 percent against multiple Democratic challengers to face Republican Scott Meyers in the top-two general. This outcome aligns with the seat's history of lopsided partisan results and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for Democrats incorporates these structural factors alongside Friedman's incumbency. A shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal or health issue involving the incumbent, or an exceptional national political realignment altering turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$22,831समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 30th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+22 and consistent analyst ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Laura Friedman secured a decisive primary win on June 2, advancing with over 52 percent against multiple Democratic challengers to face Republican Scott Meyers in the top-two general. This outcome aligns with the seat's history of lopsided partisan results and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for Democrats incorporates these structural factors alongside Friedman's incumbency. A shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal or health issue involving the incumbent, or an exceptional national political realignment altering turnout.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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