Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz leads trader consensus at 57% implied probability to win Florida's 23rd Congressional District Democratic primary on August 18, reflecting his incumbency advantage, superior fundraising—over $370,000 raised in Q3 2025—and established name recognition in Broward and Palm Beach counties. Challenger Oliver Larkin, a Democratic Socialist union organizer endorsed nationally by DSA and locally by Broward DSA, trails at 37% but gained momentum from a March Center for Strategic Politics poll showing him ahead 49-36 after balanced bios, amid 63% of likely Democratic voters favoring reduced U.S. military aid to Israel. No newer polls have emerged, leaving the race competitive as Larkin presses anti-war, Medicare for All messaging against Moskowitz's pro-Israel stance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$13,999 वॉल्यूम
$13,999 वॉल्यूम
18 अग, 2026
जारेड मोस्कोविट्ज़
57%
ओलिवर एडम्स लार्किन
37%
$13,999 वॉल्यूम
$13,999 वॉल्यूम
18 अग, 2026
जारेड मोस्कोविट्ज़
$4,980 वॉल्यूम
57%
ओलिवर एडम्स लार्किन
$9,019 वॉल्यूम
37%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz leads trader consensus at 57% implied probability to win Florida's 23rd Congressional District Democratic primary on August 18, reflecting his incumbency advantage, superior fundraising—over $370,000 raised in Q3 2025—and established name recognition in Broward and Palm Beach counties. Challenger Oliver Larkin, a Democratic Socialist union organizer endorsed nationally by DSA and locally by Broward DSA, trails at 37% but gained momentum from a March Center for Strategic Politics poll showing him ahead 49-36 after balanced bios, amid 63% of likely Democratic voters favoring reduced U.S. military aid to Israel. No newer polls have emerged, leaving the race competitive as Larkin presses anti-war, Medicare for All messaging against Moskowitz's pro-Israel stance.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,999समाप्ति तिथि
18 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz leads trader consensus at 57% implied probability to win Florida's 23rd Congressional District Democratic primary on August 18, reflecting his incumbency advantage, superior fundraising—over $370,000 raised in Q3 2025—and established name recognition in Broward and Palm Beach counties. Challenger Oliver Larkin, a Democratic Socialist union organizer endorsed nationally by DSA and locally by Broward DSA, trails at 37% but gained momentum from a March Center for Strategic Politics poll showing him ahead 49-36 after balanced bios, amid 63% of likely Democratic voters favoring reduced U.S. military aid to Israel. No newer polls have emerged, leaving the race competitive as Larkin presses anti-war, Medicare for All messaging against Moskowitz's pro-Israel stance.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$13,999समाप्ति तिथि
18 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz leads trader consensus at 57% implied probability to win Florida's 23rd Congressional District Democratic primary on August 18, reflecting his incumbency advantage, superior fundraising—over $370,000 raised in Q3 2025—and established name recognition in Broward and Palm Beach counties. Challenger Oliver Larkin, a Democratic Socialist union organizer endorsed nationally by DSA and locally by Broward DSA, trails at 37% but gained momentum from a March Center for Strategic Politics poll showing him ahead 49-36 after balanced bios, amid 63% of likely Democratic voters favoring reduced U.S. military aid to Israel. No newer polls have emerged, leaving the race competitive as Larkin presses anti-war, Medicare for All messaging against Moskowitz's pro-Israel stance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न