Lois Frankel maintains an overwhelming lead in the FL-23 Democratic primary market as the incumbent representative whose core Palm Beach County support was preserved in the reconfigured district following Florida’s new congressional map enacted in late April 2026. She filed to run in the August 18 primary shortly after the map’s passage and holds a substantial fundraising edge. Challenger Oliver Adams Larkin and lower-probability options such as Jared Moskowitz and Victoria Doyle have drawn minimal visibility or organized backing to date. Traders view the race as low-risk for the established officeholder absent any late developments before the closed primary.