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राजनीति·प्राथमिक

AZ -05 रिपब्लिकन प्राइमरी विनर

Market icon
राजनीति·प्राथमिक

AZ -05 रिपब्लिकन प्राइमरी विनर

मार्क लैम्ब 88%

ट्रैविस ग्रांथम 3.8%

जे फेली 2.5%

Polymarket

$44,734 वॉल्यूम

मार्क लैम्ब 88%

ट्रैविस ग्रांथम 3.8%

जे फेली 2.5%

Polymarket

$44,734 वॉल्यूम

मार्क लैम्ब

$2,119 वॉल्यूम

88%

ट्रैविस ग्रांथम

$1,120 वॉल्यूम

4%

जे फेली

$41,495 वॉल्यूम

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb commands trader consensus at 88% implied probability to win Arizona's 5th Congressional District Republican primary on July 21, driven by President Trump's November 2025 endorsement, internal polls showing him at 54% among likely GOP primary voters, and strong name recognition from his sheriff tenure in this deeply Republican East Valley district where Rep. Andy Biggs is retiring. Former state Rep. Travis Grantham's March 12 suspension of his campaign due to Air National Guard active-duty call-up has further consolidated support behind Lamb, dropping Grantham to 3.8%, while ex-NFL kicker Jay Feely's December switch to AZ-01 leaves him at 2.7% despite prior polling. With early voting starting June 24, any late endorsements or scandals could shift dynamics, but Lamb's frontrunner status aligns with historical primary patterns favoring incumbency-like figures in safe seats.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$44,734
समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb commands trader consensus at 88% implied probability to win Arizona's 5th Congressional District Republican primary on July 21, driven by President Trump's November 2025 endorsement, internal polls showing him at 54% among likely GOP primary voters, and strong name recognition from his sheriff tenure in this deeply Republican East Valley district where Rep. Andy Biggs is retiring. Former state Rep. Travis Grantham's March 12 suspension of his campaign due to Air National Guard active-duty call-up has further consolidated support behind Lamb, dropping Grantham to 3.8%, while ex-NFL kicker Jay Feely's December switch to AZ-01 leaves him at 2.7% despite prior polling. With early voting starting June 24, any late endorsements or scandals could shift dynamics, but Lamb's frontrunner status aligns with historical primary patterns favoring incumbency-like figures in safe seats.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$44,734
समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"AZ -05 रिपब्लिकन प्राइमरी विनर" Polymarket पर 3 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, मार्क लैम्ब 88% (88¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद ट्रैविस ग्रांथम 4% पर है।

आज तक, "AZ -05 रिपब्लिकन प्राइमरी विनर" ने कुल $44.7K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Nov 25, 2025 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"AZ -05 रिपब्लिकन प्राइमरी विनर" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 3 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"AZ -05 रिपब्लिकन प्राइमरी विनर" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "मार्क लैम्ब" 88% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "ट्रैविस ग्रांथम" 4% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"AZ -05 रिपब्लिकन प्राइमरी विनर" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।