Trader consensus favors Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton at 58.5% implied probability to win the Republican Senate primary runoff against incumbent Senator John Cornyn on May 26, reflecting recent polls showing Paxton leading by double digits—such as a March Impact Research survey (53%-37%) and multiple April surveys confirming his edge among GOP primary voters. Neither candidate secured a March 3 primary majority amid a crowded field, with Cornyn at 42% and Paxton close behind, propelling the top two to runoff despite over $100 million in record spending backing the establishment-favored Cornyn. Paxton's challenges to federal policies on immigration and energy resonate with the party base, while Cornyn leverages incumbency and Senate relationships; Wesley Hunt, Dawn Buckingham, and Beth Van Duyne trail at negligible odds after minimal primary showings. Turnout and potential endorsements remain pivotal ahead of early voting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाटेक्सास रिपब्लिकन सीनेट प्राइमरी विनर
टेक्सास रिपब्लिकन सीनेट प्राइमरी विनर
केन पैक्सटन 59%
जॉन कॉर्निन 41%
डॉन बकिन्घम <1%
बेथ वैन ड्यून <1%
$15,433,266 वॉल्यूम
$15,433,266 वॉल्यूम

केन पैक्सटन
59%

जॉन कॉर्निन
41%

डॉन बकिन्घम
<1%

बेथ वैन ड्यून
<1%

वेस्ली हंट
<1%
केन पैक्सटन 59%
जॉन कॉर्निन 41%
डॉन बकिन्घम <1%
बेथ वैन ड्यून <1%
$15,433,266 वॉल्यूम
$15,433,266 वॉल्यूम

केन पैक्सटन
59%

जॉन कॉर्निन
41%

डॉन बकिन्घम
<1%

बेथ वैन ड्यून
<1%

वेस्ली हंट
<1%
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 10, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton at 58.5% implied probability to win the Republican Senate primary runoff against incumbent Senator John Cornyn on May 26, reflecting recent polls showing Paxton leading by double digits—such as a March Impact Research survey (53%-37%) and multiple April surveys confirming his edge among GOP primary voters. Neither candidate secured a March 3 primary majority amid a crowded field, with Cornyn at 42% and Paxton close behind, propelling the top two to runoff despite over $100 million in record spending backing the establishment-favored Cornyn. Paxton's challenges to federal policies on immigration and energy resonate with the party base, while Cornyn leverages incumbency and Senate relationships; Wesley Hunt, Dawn Buckingham, and Beth Van Duyne trail at negligible odds after minimal primary showings. Turnout and potential endorsements remain pivotal ahead of early voting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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