Recent Emerson College polling from late March shows Rep. Byron Donalds leading the GOP primary at 46%—far ahead of rivals like Lt. Gov. Jay Collins and James Fishback—while holding narrow general election edges over Democrat David Jolly (44%-39%) and Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings (45%-36%), reinforcing trader consensus on a Republican victory at 73% implied probability. Florida's Republican voter registration advantage (44%-34%) and the party's dominance in recent cycles sustain this positioning, despite an MDW/Edge survey indicating a statistical tie with Jolly. The fragmented Democratic primary, with 53% undecided, and August 18 primaries leave room for shifts, but historical trends favor GOP retention of the open seat.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$14,209 वॉल्यूम
$14,209 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन
73%
डेमोक्रेट
26%
$14,209 वॉल्यूम
$14,209 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन
$5,565 वॉल्यूम
73%
डेमोक्रेट
$8,644 वॉल्यूम
26%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent Emerson College polling from late March shows Rep. Byron Donalds leading the GOP primary at 46%—far ahead of rivals like Lt. Gov. Jay Collins and James Fishback—while holding narrow general election edges over Democrat David Jolly (44%-39%) and Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings (45%-36%), reinforcing trader consensus on a Republican victory at 73% implied probability. Florida's Republican voter registration advantage (44%-34%) and the party's dominance in recent cycles sustain this positioning, despite an MDW/Edge survey indicating a statistical tie with Jolly. The fragmented Democratic primary, with 53% undecided, and August 18 primaries leave room for shifts, but historical trends favor GOP retention of the open seat.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$14,209समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent Emerson College polling from late March shows Rep. Byron Donalds leading the GOP primary at 46%—far ahead of rivals like Lt. Gov. Jay Collins and James Fishback—while holding narrow general election edges over Democrat David Jolly (44%-39%) and Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings (45%-36%), reinforcing trader consensus on a Republican victory at 73% implied probability. Florida's Republican voter registration advantage (44%-34%) and the party's dominance in recent cycles sustain this positioning, despite an MDW/Edge survey indicating a statistical tie with Jolly. The fragmented Democratic primary, with 53% undecided, and August 18 primaries leave room for shifts, but historical trends favor GOP retention of the open seat.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$14,209समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Emerson College polling from late March shows Rep. Byron Donalds leading the GOP primary at 46%—far ahead of rivals like Lt. Gov. Jay Collins and James Fishback—while holding narrow general election edges over Democrat David Jolly (44%-39%) and Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings (45%-36%), reinforcing trader consensus on a Republican victory at 73% implied probability. Florida's Republican voter registration advantage (44%-34%) and the party's dominance in recent cycles sustain this positioning, despite an MDW/Edge survey indicating a statistical tie with Jolly. The fragmented Democratic primary, with 53% undecided, and August 18 primaries leave room for shifts, but historical trends favor GOP retention of the open seat.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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