Trader consensus prices the Republican Party at 89.5% implied probability to retain Florida's 18th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's deep-red fundamentals—Donald Trump won it by 29 points in 2024—and incumbent Rep. Scott Franklin's consistent easy reelections since ousting Ross Spano in the 2020 GOP primary. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, with minimal Democratic fundraising or recruitment to date; Deva Simmons is the sole announced general election challenger so far. Recent statewide polls indicate tighter 2026 midterm races following Democratic special election flips in state legislative seats, yet FL-18's inland conservative base and lack of competitive polling keep GOP odds elevated ahead of August 18 primaries and the November 3 general election. Late scandals or a star Democratic recruit could shift dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाFL-18 House Election Winner
FL-18 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
8%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$4,867 वॉल्यूम
90%
Democratic Party
$4,869 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices the Republican Party at 89.5% implied probability to retain Florida's 18th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's deep-red fundamentals—Donald Trump won it by 29 points in 2024—and incumbent Rep. Scott Franklin's consistent easy reelections since ousting Ross Spano in the 2020 GOP primary. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, with minimal Democratic fundraising or recruitment to date; Deva Simmons is the sole announced general election challenger so far. Recent statewide polls indicate tighter 2026 midterm races following Democratic special election flips in state legislative seats, yet FL-18's inland conservative base and lack of competitive polling keep GOP odds elevated ahead of August 18 primaries and the November 3 general election. Late scandals or a star Democratic recruit could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,736समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices the Republican Party at 89.5% implied probability to retain Florida's 18th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's deep-red fundamentals—Donald Trump won it by 29 points in 2024—and incumbent Rep. Scott Franklin's consistent easy reelections since ousting Ross Spano in the 2020 GOP primary. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, with minimal Democratic fundraising or recruitment to date; Deva Simmons is the sole announced general election challenger so far. Recent statewide polls indicate tighter 2026 midterm races following Democratic special election flips in state legislative seats, yet FL-18's inland conservative base and lack of competitive polling keep GOP odds elevated ahead of August 18 primaries and the November 3 general election. Late scandals or a star Democratic recruit could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$9,736समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices the Republican Party at 89.5% implied probability to retain Florida's 18th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's deep-red fundamentals—Donald Trump won it by 29 points in 2024—and incumbent Rep. Scott Franklin's consistent easy reelections since ousting Ross Spano in the 2020 GOP primary. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, with minimal Democratic fundraising or recruitment to date; Deva Simmons is the sole announced general election challenger so far. Recent statewide polls indicate tighter 2026 midterm races following Democratic special election flips in state legislative seats, yet FL-18's inland conservative base and lack of competitive polling keep GOP odds elevated ahead of August 18 primaries and the November 3 general election. Late scandals or a star Democratic recruit could shift dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न