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Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

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Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

85% संभावना
Polymarket
नया
85% संभावना
Polymarket
नया
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No." If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).Recent polls from late March and early April 2026, including WP/Schar (52% Yes), GMU (49% Yes), and others averaging around 48-50% support among likely voters, underpin trader consensus favoring passage of Nevada's Question 6 abortion rights constitutional amendment at 59.5% implied probability, reflecting a competitive but leaning-Yes landscape. Having secured first voter approval in 2024 with strong backing post-Dobbs, the ballot measure—establishing abortion access until fetal viability except to protect maternal health—advances to its required second majority vote on November 3, 2026. Recent Republican voter registration gains in Clark County (net +7,184 in March-April) have narrowed margins, while Democratic campaigns highlight reproductive rights amid Nevada's battleground status and key turnout dynamics in urban areas.

Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
वॉल्यूम
$45
समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No." If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No." If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).Recent polls from late March and early April 2026, including WP/Schar (52% Yes), GMU (49% Yes), and others averaging around 48-50% support among likely voters, underpin trader consensus favoring passage of Nevada's Question 6 abortion rights constitutional amendment at 59.5% implied probability, reflecting a competitive but leaning-Yes landscape. Having secured first voter approval in 2024 with strong backing post-Dobbs, the ballot measure—establishing abortion access until fetal viability except to protect maternal health—advances to its required second majority vote on November 3, 2026. Recent Republican voter registration gains in Clark County (net +7,184 in March-April) have narrowed margins, while Democratic campaigns highlight reproductive rights amid Nevada's battleground status and key turnout dynamics in urban areas.

Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
वॉल्यूम
$45
समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No." If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).

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"Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?" Polymarket पर एक पूर्वानुमान बाज़ार है जहाँ ट्रेडर इस बात के आधार पर "हाँ" या "नहीं" शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं कि क्या उन्हें लगता है यह घटना होगी। वर्तमान भीड़-संचालित संभावना "Yes" के लिए 85% है। उदाहरण के लिए, अगर "हाँ" की कीमत 85¢ है, तो बाज़ार सामूहिक रूप से इस घटना के होने की 85% संभावना मानता है। ये संभावनाएँ लगातार बदलती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर नए विकास और जानकारी पर प्रतिक्रिया करते हैं। सही परिणाम में शेयर बाज़ार समाधान पर प्रत्येक $1 में भुनाए जा सकते हैं।

"Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?" Polymarket पर एक नवनिर्मित बाज़ार है, Mar 2, 2026 को लॉन्च किया गया। एक शुरुआती बाज़ार के रूप में, यह पहले ट्रेडरों में शामिल होने और संभावनाएँ सेट करने और बाज़ार के शुरुआती मूल्य संकेत स्थापित करने का आपका अवसर है। आप समय के साथ बाज़ार की गति बढ़ने पर वॉल्यूम और ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि को ट्रैक करने के लिए इस पेज को बुकमार्क भी कर सकते हैं।

"Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, बस चुनें कि आपको लगता है उत्तर "हाँ" है या "नहीं"। प्रत्येक पक्ष की एक वर्तमान कीमत है जो बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाती है। अपनी राशि दर्ज करें और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें। अगर आप "हाँ" शेयर खरीदते हैं और परिणाम "हाँ" हल होता है, तो प्रत्येक शेयर $1 का भुगतान करता है। अगर "नहीं" हल होता है, तो आपके "हाँ" शेयर $0 का भुगतान करते हैं। लाभ सुरक्षित करने या नुकसान कम करने के लिए आप समाधान से पहले किसी भी समय अपने शेयर बेच सकते हैं।

"Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?" की वर्तमान संभावना "Yes" के लिए 85% है। इसका मतलब है कि Polymarket भीड़ वर्तमान में मानती है कि इस घटना के होने की 85% संभावना है। ये संभावनाएँ वास्तविक ट्रेड के आधार पर रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं।

"Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।