Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson faces Democratic challenger Eric Jones and several Republican candidates in California's June 2 top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District. The solidly Democratic district, with its strong partisan lean, favors both leading Democrats advancing under the state's top-two system. Thompson's long tenure since 1999 and substantial campaign resources contrast with Jones's self-funded effort and endorsements from progressive groups. Republican candidates remain fragmented with limited fundraising, reducing their chances of placing in the top two. No major developments have shifted the field since the March filing deadline, leaving fundraising totals, voter turnout patterns, and the district's electoral math as primary factors in trader assessments ahead of the vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$35,734 वॉल्यूम
माइक थॉम्पसन
93%
एरिक जोन्स
92%
लॉरी मैकेंज़ी
4%
जॉन वेस्ली टायलर
2%
हीथ फुल्करसन
2%
ट्रेवर मेर्रेल
1%
शेरोन ब्राउन
<1%
मंडी घुसार
<1%
$35,734 वॉल्यूम
माइक थॉम्पसन
93%
एरिक जोन्स
92%
लॉरी मैकेंज़ी
4%
जॉन वेस्ली टायलर
2%
हीथ फुल्करसन
2%
ट्रेवर मेर्रेल
1%
शेरोन ब्राउन
<1%
मंडी घुसार
<1%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson faces Democratic challenger Eric Jones and several Republican candidates in California's June 2 top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District. The solidly Democratic district, with its strong partisan lean, favors both leading Democrats advancing under the state's top-two system. Thompson's long tenure since 1999 and substantial campaign resources contrast with Jones's self-funded effort and endorsements from progressive groups. Republican candidates remain fragmented with limited fundraising, reducing their chances of placing in the top two. No major developments have shifted the field since the March filing deadline, leaving fundraising totals, voter turnout patterns, and the district's electoral math as primary factors in trader assessments ahead of the vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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