Skip to main content
Market icon

CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता

Market icon

CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता

$20,463 वॉल्यूम

2 जून, 2026
Polymarket

$20,463 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket

माइक थॉम्पसन

$6,502 वॉल्यूम

98%

एरिक जोन्स

$4,011 वॉल्यूम

96%

ट्रेवर मेर्रेल

$6,288 वॉल्यूम

16%

हीथ फुल्करसन

$0 वॉल्यूम

8%

शेरोन ब्राउन

$1,605 वॉल्यूम

6%

मंडी घुसार

$728 वॉल्यूम

6%

लॉरी मैकेंज़ी

$710 वॉल्यूम

5%

जॉन वेस्ली टायलर

$618 वॉल्यूम

45%

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson faces a competitive challenge from well-funded Democrat Eric Jones, who has raised $2.6 million compared to Thompson's $2 million through late 2025, bolstered by Our Revolution endorsement and appeals to younger voters on affordability and corporate accountability. Thompson holds Democratic Party of California backing and emphasizes his long tenure on the House Ways and Means Committee, wine industry support, and wildfire relief. A fragmented Republican field of six candidates with minimal fundraising likely advances one GOP contender alongside a Democrat, per historical patterns in this D+17 district. Early voting begins May 4; recent forums, including Jones winning a March 30 Indivisible Yolo straw poll, signal intensifying Democratic vote-splitting risks.

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$20,463
समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson faces a competitive challenge from well-funded Democrat Eric Jones, who has raised $2.6 million compared to Thompson's $2 million through late 2025, bolstered by Our Revolution endorsement and appeals to younger voters on affordability and corporate accountability. Thompson holds Democratic Party of California backing and emphasizes his long tenure on the House Ways and Means Committee, wine industry support, and wildfire relief. A fragmented Republican field of six candidates with minimal fundraising likely advances one GOP contender alongside a Democrat, per historical patterns in this D+17 district. Early voting begins May 4; recent forums, including Jones winning a March 30 Indivisible Yolo straw poll, signal intensifying Democratic vote-splitting risks.

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$20,463
समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता" Polymarket पर 8 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, माइक थॉम्पसन 98% (98¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद एरिक जोन्स 96% पर है।

आज तक, "CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता" ने कुल $20.5K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Feb 26, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 8 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "माइक थॉम्पसन" 98% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "एरिक जोन्स" 96% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।