Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly secured the nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary for Mississippi’s 1st congressional district, facing Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson in the November general election. The district’s R+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Kelly’s 69.8% share in 2024, underpin trader consensus around a strong Republican hold. Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Limited campaign activity or polling shifts since the primaries have left the implied probability largely unchanged. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Democratic national environment could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this northeastern Mississippi district indicate substantial barriers to an upset.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMS -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
MS -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$108,119 वॉल्यूम
$108,119 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
95%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
4%
$108,119 वॉल्यूम
$108,119 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$77,449 वॉल्यूम
95%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$30,670 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly secured the nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary for Mississippi’s 1st congressional district, facing Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson in the November general election. The district’s R+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Kelly’s 69.8% share in 2024, underpin trader consensus around a strong Republican hold. Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Limited campaign activity or polling shifts since the primaries have left the implied probability largely unchanged. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Democratic national environment could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this northeastern Mississippi district indicate substantial barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$108,119समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly secured the nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary for Mississippi’s 1st congressional district, facing Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson in the November general election. The district’s R+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Kelly’s 69.8% share in 2024, underpin trader consensus around a strong Republican hold. Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Limited campaign activity or polling shifts since the primaries have left the implied probability largely unchanged. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Democratic national environment could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this northeastern Mississippi district indicate substantial barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$108,119समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly secured the nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary for Mississippi’s 1st congressional district, facing Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson in the November general election. The district’s R+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Kelly’s 69.8% share in 2024, underpin trader consensus around a strong Republican hold. Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Limited campaign activity or polling shifts since the primaries have left the implied probability largely unchanged. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Democratic national environment could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this northeastern Mississippi district indicate substantial barriers to an upset.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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