Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 10, 2026, primary with 100% of the vote, facing Democratic civil rights attorney Cliff Johnson, who won his primary 66%-34%, in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District—a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+18 and Kelly's prior general election margins exceeding 69%. Strong historical Republican performance, including 68% for the GOP presidential candidate in 2024 district results, combined with Kelly's fundraising edge ($738,000 cash on hand vs. Johnson's $65,000) drives trader consensus to a 92.5% implied probability for Republicans. While commanding, odds could shift via late-breaking scandals, health events, or a national Democratic midterm surge ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMS -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
MS -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$83,941 वॉल्यूम
$83,941 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
93%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
6%
$83,941 वॉल्यूम
$83,941 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$65,861 वॉल्यूम
93%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$18,079 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 10, 2026, primary with 100% of the vote, facing Democratic civil rights attorney Cliff Johnson, who won his primary 66%-34%, in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District—a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+18 and Kelly's prior general election margins exceeding 69%. Strong historical Republican performance, including 68% for the GOP presidential candidate in 2024 district results, combined with Kelly's fundraising edge ($738,000 cash on hand vs. Johnson's $65,000) drives trader consensus to a 92.5% implied probability for Republicans. While commanding, odds could shift via late-breaking scandals, health events, or a national Democratic midterm surge ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$83,941समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 10, 2026, primary with 100% of the vote, facing Democratic civil rights attorney Cliff Johnson, who won his primary 66%-34%, in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District—a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+18 and Kelly's prior general election margins exceeding 69%. Strong historical Republican performance, including 68% for the GOP presidential candidate in 2024 district results, combined with Kelly's fundraising edge ($738,000 cash on hand vs. Johnson's $65,000) drives trader consensus to a 92.5% implied probability for Republicans. While commanding, odds could shift via late-breaking scandals, health events, or a national Democratic midterm surge ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$83,941समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 10, 2026, primary with 100% of the vote, facing Democratic civil rights attorney Cliff Johnson, who won his primary 66%-34%, in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District—a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+18 and Kelly's prior general election margins exceeding 69%. Strong historical Republican performance, including 68% for the GOP presidential candidate in 2024 district results, combined with Kelly's fundraising edge ($738,000 cash on hand vs. Johnson's $65,000) drives trader consensus to a 92.5% implied probability for Republicans. While commanding, odds could shift via late-breaking scandals, health events, or a national Democratic midterm surge ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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